Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–6. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Willem II vs Cambuur, 24 October 2026 · 17:45 at Koning Willem II Stadion (Tilburg), with Dennis Higler officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Cambuur win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Cambuur lose.
Willem II vs Cambuur: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Willem II lie 18th, having collected 3 points after 12 matches (0W 3D 9L); Cambuur lie 9th, having collected 15 points (4W 3D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Willem II average 1.0 goals for and 2.9 against, compared with 1.4 for and 2.3 against for Cambuur.
- Form in the competition. Willem II: 0W 2D 7L, goals 9–26; Cambuur: 2W 3D 4L, goals 13–21.
- Head to head. In 11 previous meetings, Willem II have taken 2 wins to Cambuur's 4 wins, plus 5 draws; the goal tally stands at 13–18.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–2 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Cambuur, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.45), which we give a 65% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 65%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 61%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 11; Willem II 2 wins, 5 draws, Cambuur 4 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.8 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Willem II 9–26, Cambuur 13–21.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61%.
- Unavailable: Willem II 5, Cambuur 4.
Alternative tip: Willem II or draw (1X)
Another angle: Willem II or draw (1X) (probability 63%, top price 1.53). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Willem II: A. Culum, T. Didillon Hodl, J. Hoogma, A. Lachkar, W. van der Steen. Cambuur will be without: J. Amofa, W. Asselman, D. Bouah, D. Visser. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Willem II vs Cambuur: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.55 | 3.80 | 2.71 |
| Market average | 2.50 | 3.69 | 2.58 |
| Lowest odds | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.15 | 81.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.59 | 1.53 | 61.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.42 | 38.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.30 | 41.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.45 | 1.44 | 64.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.88 | 2.64 | 35.3% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 12:03. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.8%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Willem II 1–1 Cambuur, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Willem II 18th (3 points), Cambuur 9th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Willem II 0W 2D 7L (9:26), Cambuur 2W 3D 4L (13:21).
- H2H: 11 matches: Willem II 2W 5D 4L, goals 13–18.
- Absences: Willem II 5, Cambuur 4.
Who will win Willem II vs Cambuur?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Willem II vs Cambuur: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Willem II vs Cambuur: injuries and missing players
Willem II
- A. Culumfoot injury · will miss the match
- T. Didillon Hodlhamstring injury · will miss the match
- J. Hoogmaknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Lachkargroin injury · will miss the match
- W. van der Steennot in the squad · will miss the match
Cambuur
- J. Amofainjury · will miss the match
- W. Asselmaninjury · will miss the match
- D. Bouahred card · will miss the match
- D. Visserknee injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3-3-6 | 13:24 | 12 |
| 14 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 | Willem II | 12 | 0-3-9 | 11:40 | 3 |
Recent matches
Willem II
Home and away
Willem II vs Cambuur: last matches of both teams
Willem II
Cambuur
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Willem IIDLLLLCambuurWWDWDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Willem II vs Cambuur?
Cambuur +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.75); Both teams to score (1.45).
Who will win Willem II vs Cambuur?
Our estimate gives Willem II a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cambuur 37%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 17:45, venue Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg. Referee: Dennis Higler.
Who will be missing?
Willem II: A. Culum, T. Didillon Hodl, J. Hoogma, A. Lachkar, W. van der Steen. Cambuur: J. Amofa, W. Asselman, D. Bouah, D. Visser. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.59) and under 2.5 goals at 39% (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 65% (odds 1.45).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.6%), then 2–1 (8.5%) and 1–2 (8.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.