Carrarese vs Sampdoria: prediction, odds and betting tip – 8 November 2026, Serie B

Carrarese vs Sampdoria preview and prediction

Carrarese sit 15th in Serie B with 10 points, while Sampdoria are 19th with 8. That is two points and four places between them, and it is the gap that makes this Matchweek 11 meeting at the Stadio dei Marmi more interesting than the bottom-half label suggests. The table figures cover this competition only, so they tell us how the season has gone in Serie B, not what either side has done in other tournaments.

Recent form on both sides

Carrarese arrive with three wins in their last five matches across all competitions, and those five games finished 7:7 in goals. They beat Padova away, Modena and Arezzo at home, and lost away to Palermo and Hellas Verona, the last of those by 3-0. Their home record in this league is weaker than the overall picture: two wins, no draws and three defeats, with five goals scored and six conceded at the Stadio dei Marmi.

Sampdoria have had a harder run. Their last five, again across all competitions, brought one win, a 2-0 home success over Virtus Entella, one draw at Südtirol and three defeats, including a 1-2 home loss to Arezzo and a 2-0 defeat at Ascoli. They have scored 5 and conceded 9 in those matches. In Serie B they have yet to win away this season, with two draws and four defeats on their travels, and they have conceded 13 goals in those games.

Four meetings and a small sample

The head-to-head record over the last four meetings favours Carrarese, who have won two, drawn one and lost one, with six goals scored to Sampdoria's four. The most recent of those was a 2-0 Carrarese win on 18 March 2026, and before that Sampdoria beat them 3-2 in December 2025. We would not read too much into a sample of four.

No new injury news on either side

Neither club has any reported absentees, so both sides should be close to full strength. That removes one of the usual reasons to hesitate before backing a home team, and it leaves the decision to the form and the price.

What the bookmakers expect

The market makes Carrarese the favourites at 38 per cent, with a draw at 29 per cent and a Sampdoria win at 33 per cent. The best odds on those outcomes are 2.50, 3.26 and 3.05, and the bookmaker margin on the result is 8.0 per cent. In other words, the price on Sampdoria to win is not far from the price on Carrarese, which tells us the market sees the table gap as real but not decisive.

The Asian handicap line puts Carrarese at +0 with a 54 per cent chance at 1.80, and Sampdoria at +0.5 at 61 per cent. Expected goals are about 1 for each side, so the market sees roughly 2 in total. On the totals, over 2.5 goals is 49 per cent at 1.97 and under 2.5 is 51 per cent at 1.91, so there is no strong lean either way. Both teams to score is 55 per cent at 1.73.

Our Carrarese vs Sampdoria betting tip: Carrarese +0

This is our main tip. Carrarese +0 at odds 1.80, with a 54 per cent chance. At +0 a Carrarese win wins, a draw returns the stake, and a defeat loses. On the likeliest scores, 2-1 and 1-0 win, 1-1 and 0-0 return the stake, and 0-1 and 1-2 lose.

We like this because the recent form is clearly on Carrarese's side. They have won three of their last five, while Sampdoria have won only one of theirs. The table points back that up, with Carrarese 15th on 10 and Sampdoria 19th on 8. Carrarese also took two of the last four meetings, against one for Sampdoria, and the market gives them 54 per cent at the best price of 1.80. Our reservation is that a draw is not a loss on this line, so the bet has a built-in cushion that the market does not fully credit.

Our second tip: Both teams to score

Our second tip is both teams to score at odds 1.73, with a 55 per cent chance. It wins on 1-1, 2-1 and 1-2, and loses on 1-0, 0-1 and 0-0.

The case rests on how often both sides have found the net recently. Both teams scored in three of Carrarese's last five matches and in three of Sampdoria's last five. Carrarese have failed to score in only one of their last five, and Sampdoria have also failed to score in only one. The market agrees, pricing it at 55 per cent. We would be careful, though. The expected goals figure is about 1 each, so this tip depends on both sides getting a goal, not on a high-scoring game.

Side bets worth a look

If you want a safer angle, Over 1.5 goals at 1.31 has a 74 per cent chance, and we think it is the most sensible price on the card. It needs only two goals in the match, which is what the expected goals figures point to without asking for anything extra. Carrarese or draw at 1.40, with a 67 per cent chance, sits comfortably with our main tip, and it is the bet we would reach for if we wanted less variance in the outcome.

Our final word on Carrara

We expect Carrarese to take this at home, with the two-point gap and the head-to-head record pushing us towards their side. The main tip is Carrarese +0 at 1.80, and the second tip is both teams to score at 1.73. Whichever you choose, keep the stakes in line with how little these short-term runs can tell us about a Serie B match.