Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans, 31 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stade de l'Aube (Troyes), with Azzedine Souifi officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Estac Troyes win. Half lost (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Estac Troyes lose.
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Estac Troyes lie 16th, having collected 8 points after 9 matches (2W 2D 5L); Le Mans lie 17th, having collected 7 points (1W 4D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Estac Troyes average 0.6 goals for and 2.0 against, compared with 1.4 for and 2.0 against for Le Mans.
- Form in the competition. Estac Troyes: 1W 2D 5L, goals 5–16; Le Mans: 1W 4D 3L, goals 11–16.
- Head to head. In 8 previous meetings, Estac Troyes have taken 3 wins to Le Mans's 3 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 9–9.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.4%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.80), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 54%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 49%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 8; Estac Troyes 3 wins, 2 draws, Le Mans 3 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.3 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Estac Troyes 5–16, Le Mans 11–16.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 49%.
- Unavailable: Estac Troyes 2, Le Mans 3.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Another angle: Under 2.5 goals (probability 51%, top price 1.98). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Estac Troyes: Y. Kone, A. Ouzenadji. Le Mans will be without: A. Bourabaa, E. Colas, D. Sidibe. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.30 | 3.50 | 3.54 |
| Market average | 2.19 | 3.34 | 3.35 |
| Lowest odds | 2.15 | 3.08 | 2.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.30 | 72.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.93 | 49.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.98 | 1.89 | 50.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.25 | 28.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.73 | 54.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.03 | 45.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 17:09. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.6%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Estac Troyes 1–1 Le Mans, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Estac Troyes 16th (8 points), Le Mans 17th (7 points).
- Form in the competition: Estac Troyes 1W 2D 5L (5:16), Le Mans 1W 4D 3L (11:16).
- H2H: 8 matches: Estac Troyes 3W 2D 3L, goals 9–9.
- Absences: Estac Troyes 2, Le Mans 3.
Who will win Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: injuries and missing players
Estac Troyes
- Y. Koneknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Ouzenadjiknee injury · will miss the match
Le Mans
- A. Bourabaaankle injury · will miss the match
- E. Colasinjury · will miss the match
- D. Sidibefoot injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 10 | 3-4-3 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 12 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 10 | 3-1-6 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 | Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 | Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Estac Troyes
Home and away
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: last matches of both teams
Estac Troyes
Le Mans
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Estac TroyesWDLLLLe MansLDLLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?
Estac Troyes -0.25 (Asian handicap) (2.03); Both teams to score (1.80).
Who will win Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?
Our estimate gives Estac Troyes a 43% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Le Mans 28%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Stade de l'Aube, Troyes. Referee: Azzedine Souifi.
Who will be missing?
Estac Troyes: Y. Kone, A. Ouzenadji. Le Mans: A. Bourabaa, E. Colas, D. Sidibe. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 2.00) and under 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.98).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 54% (odds 1.80).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.4%), then 1–0 (10.8%) and 2–1 (9.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.