Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Exeter City welcome Fleetwood Town on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at St James Park (Exeter), and the referee is G. Laflin. We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Exeter City win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Exeter City lose.
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Exeter City lie 12th, having collected 19 points after 14 matches (5W 4D 5L); Fleetwood Town lie 16th, having collected 17 points (4W 5D 5L).
- Head to head. In 9 previous meetings, Exeter City have taken 4 wins to Fleetwood Town's 1 win, plus 4 draws; the goal tally stands at 14–11.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.9%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.79), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 51%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 46%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 9; Exeter City 4 wins, 4 draws, Fleetwood Town 1 win.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.8 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 46%.
- Unavailable: Exeter City 0, Fleetwood Town 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 51%, top price 1.87). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Exeter City: no absences. Fleetwood Town will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.50 | 3.34 | 3.10 |
| Market average | 2.39 | 3.20 | 2.96 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.35 | 1.32 | 69.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.15 | 2.05 | 45.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.79 | 1.73 | 54.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.59 | 25.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.87 | 1.80 | 51.4% |
| BTTS – no | 1.93 | 1.90 | 48.6% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 13:59. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.0%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Exeter City 1–1 Fleetwood Town, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Exeter City 12th (19 points), Fleetwood Town 16th (17 points).
- H2H: 9 matches: Exeter City 4W 4D 1L, goals 14–11.
- Absences: Exeter City 0, Fleetwood Town 0.
Who will win Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town: injuries and missing players
Exeter City
- No reported absences
Fleetwood Town
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Exeter City
Home and away
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town: last matches of both teams
Exeter City
Fleetwood Town
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town?
Exeter City +0 (Asian handicap) (1.78); Under 2.5 goals (1.79).
Who will win Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town?
Our estimate gives Exeter City a 39% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Fleetwood Town 32%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 15:00, venue St James Park, Exeter. Referee: G. Laflin.
Who will be missing?
Exeter City: no absences. Fleetwood Town: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.15) and under 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.79).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 51% (odds 1.87).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.9%), then 1–0 (11.2%) and 0–1 (9.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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