Played: final score 4–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at Whaddon Road (Cheltenham), Cheltenham take on Fleetwood Town, with O. Mackey in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Fleetwood Town win. Half lost (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Fleetwood Town lose.
Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Cheltenham lie 5th, having collected 21 points after 14 matches (6W 3D 5L); Fleetwood Town lie 16th, having collected 17 points (4W 5D 5L).
What to expect
In our view Fleetwood Town hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.1%). This one looks finely poised.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Cheltenham, but the bookmakers make the away side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.67), which we give a 57% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 57%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 52%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
- Unavailable: Cheltenham 0, Fleetwood Town 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 52%, top price 1.90). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Cheltenham: no absences. Fleetwood Town will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.50 | 3.61 | 2.25 |
| Market average | 3.21 | 3.42 | 2.12 |
| Lowest odds | 2.90 | 3.15 | 2.05 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.23 | 75.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.90 | 1.81 | 51.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.04 | 1.95 | 48.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.95 | 31.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.64 | 56.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.14 | 43.3% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Cheltenham 1–1 Fleetwood Town, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Cheltenham 5th (21 points), Fleetwood Town 16th (17 points).
- Absences: Cheltenham 0, Fleetwood Town 0.
Who will win Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town: injuries and missing players
Cheltenham
- No reported absences
Fleetwood Town
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 | |
| 2 | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 | |
| 3 | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 | |
| 4 | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 | |
| 5 | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 | |
| 6 | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 | |
| 7 | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 | |
| 8 | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 | |
| 9 | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 | |
| 10 | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 | |
| 11 | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 | |
| 12 | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 | |
| 13 | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 | |
| 14 | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 | |
| 15 | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 | |
| 16 | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 | |
| 17 | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 | |
| 18 | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 | |
| 19 | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 | |
| 20 | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 | |
| 21 | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 | |
| 22 | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 | |
| 23 | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 | |
| 24 | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
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Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town: last matches of both teams
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town?
Fleetwood Town -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.93); Both teams to score (1.67).
Who will win Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town?
Our estimate gives Cheltenham a 29% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Fleetwood Town 44%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 20 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Whaddon Road, Cheltenham. Referee: O. Mackey.
Who will be missing?
Cheltenham: no absences. Fleetwood Town: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.90) and under 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.04).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 57% (odds 1.67).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.1%), then 0–1 (10.1%) and 1–2 (9.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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