Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Motherwell welcome Heart Of Midlothian on 25 October 2026 · 14:00 at Fir Park (Motherwell), and the referee is D. Nicolson. Heart Of Midlothian (45%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Motherwell lie 9th, having collected 12 points after 12 matches (3W 3D 6L); Heart Of Midlothian lie 3rd, having collected 20 points (6W 2D 3L).
- Head to head. In 50 previous meetings, Motherwell have taken 18 wins to Heart Of Midlothian's 23 wins, plus 9 draws; the goal tally stands at 55–74.
What to expect
In our view Heart Of Midlothian hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.2%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 60%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 58%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 50; Motherwell 18 wins, 9 draws, Heart Of Midlothian 23 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.6 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
- Unavailable: Motherwell 0, Heart Of Midlothian 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 60%, top price 1.60). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Motherwell: no absences. Heart Of Midlothian will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.35 | 3.85 | 2.12 |
| Market average | 3.24 | 3.69 | 2.08 |
| Lowest odds | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.19 | 78.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.63 | 57.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.33 | 2.23 | 42.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.80 | 2.57 | 36.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.60 | 1.54 | 60.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.35 | 39.5% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 25/10/26, 12:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.2%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Motherwell 1–1 Heart Of Midlothian, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Motherwell 9th (12 points), Heart Of Midlothian 3rd (20 points).
- H2H: 50 matches: Motherwell 18W 9D 23L, goals 55–74.
- Absences: Motherwell 0, Heart Of Midlothian 0.
Who will win Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian: injuries and missing players
Motherwell
- No reported absences
Heart Of Midlothian
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee United | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
Motherwell
Home and away
Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian: last matches of both teams
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Motherwell or draw (1X) (1.78); Under 3.5 goals (1.53).
Who will win Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Our estimate gives Motherwell a 29% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Heart Of Midlothian 45%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 25 October 2026 at 14:00, venue Fir Park, Motherwell. Referee: D. Nicolson.
Who will be missing?
Motherwell: no absences. Heart Of Midlothian: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.67) and under 2.5 goals at 42% (odds 2.33).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 60% (odds 1.60).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.2%), then 1–2 (9.3%) and 0–1 (8.6%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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