Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard, 31 October 2026 · 15:30 at Stadion Feijenoord (Rotterdam), with Joey Kooij officiating. The odds point to Feyenoord (82%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Feyenoord win by 2 or more. Loses: Feyenoord win by 1, a draw, Feyenoord lose.
Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Feyenoord lie 1st, having collected 25 points after 11 matches (7W 4D 0L); Fortuna Sittard lie 6th, having collected 19 points (5W 4D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Feyenoord average 3.2 goals for and 1.1 against, compared with 1.7 for and 1.7 against for Fortuna Sittard.
- Form in the competition. Feyenoord: 7W 3D 0L, goals 32–11; Fortuna Sittard: 5W 3D 2L, goals 17–17.
- Head to head. In 19 previous meetings, Feyenoord have taken 13 wins to Fortuna Sittard's 2 wins, plus 4 draws; the goal tally stands at 41–18.
What to expect
In our view Feyenoord hold the advantage. We project a 3–1 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 3–0 (9.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
With the result at a short price (1.19), the goals markets are also worth considering: Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.70), which we give a 57% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 53%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 75%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 19; Feyenoord 13 wins, 4 draws, Fortuna Sittard 2 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.1 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Feyenoord 32–11, Fortuna Sittard 17–17.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 75%.
- Unavailable: Feyenoord 7, Fortuna Sittard 2.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 53%, top price 1.80). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Feyenoord: T. Beelen, J. Bos, R. Nelson, B. Nieuwkoop, G. Smal, J. St. Juste, S. van Persie. Fortuna Sittard will be without: R. Bayram, I. Marquez. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.19 | 9.45 | 17.00 |
| Market average | 1.15 | 8.24 | 14.55 |
| Lowest odds | 1.13 | 6.57 | 9.64 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.08 | 1.05 | 89.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.24 | 75.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.90 | 3.74 | 25.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.66 | 56.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.74 | 53.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 2.00 | 46.5% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 13:04. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.1%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Feyenoord 3–0 Fortuna Sittard, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Feyenoord 1st (25 points), Fortuna Sittard 6th (19 points).
- Form in the competition: Feyenoord 7W 3D 0L (32:11), Fortuna Sittard 5W 3D 2L (17:17).
- H2H: 19 matches: Feyenoord 13W 4D 2L, goals 41–18.
- Absences: Feyenoord 7, Fortuna Sittard 2.
Who will win Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard: injuries and missing players
Feyenoord
- T. Beelenbroken leg · will miss the match
- J. Bosknee injury · will miss the match
- R. Nelsonmuscle injury · will miss the match
- B. Nieuwkoopknee injury · will miss the match
- G. Smalankle injury · will miss the match
- J. St. Justeabsence · will miss the match
- S. van Persieknock · will miss the match
Fortuna Sittard
- R. Bayramknee injury · will miss the match
- I. Marquezinjury · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3-3-6 | 13:24 | 12 |
| 14 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 12 | 0-3-9 | 11:40 | 3 |
Recent matches
Feyenoord
Home and away
Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard: last matches of both teams
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
FeyenoordDDWWWFortuna SittardDWDDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard?
Feyenoord -1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.50); Over 3.5 goals (1.70).
Who will win Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard?
Our estimate gives Feyenoord a 82% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Fortuna Sittard 7%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 15:30, venue Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam. Referee: Joey Kooij.
Who will be missing?
Feyenoord: T. Beelen, J. Bos, R. Nelson, B. Nieuwkoop, G. Smal, J. St. Juste, S. van Persie. Fortuna Sittard: R. Bayram, I. Marquez. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 75% (odds 1.28) and under 2.5 goals at 25% (odds 3.90).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 53% (odds 1.80).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 3–0 (9.6%), then 2–0 (9.3%) and 3–1 (8.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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