Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
PSV Eindhoven welcome Feyenoord on 25 October 2026 · 13:30 at Philips Stadion (Eindhoven), and the referee is Serdar Gözübüyük. PSV Eindhoven (47%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: PSV Eindhoven win. Half lost (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: PSV Eindhoven lose.
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. PSV Eindhoven lie 3rd, having collected 23 points after 11 matches (7W 2D 2L); Feyenoord lie 1st, having collected 25 points (7W 4D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, PSV Eindhoven average 3.0 goals for and 1.3 against, compared with 3.4 for and 1.1 against for Feyenoord.
- Form in the competition. PSV Eindhoven: 6W 1D 2L, goals 27–12; Feyenoord: 7W 2D 0L, goals 31–10.
- Head to head. In 40 previous meetings, PSV Eindhoven have taken 17 wins to Feyenoord's 14 wins, plus 9 draws; the goal tally stands at 73–61.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–2 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (8.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.81), which we give a 53% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 72%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 73%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 40; PSV Eindhoven 17 wins, 9 draws, Feyenoord 14 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.4 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: PSV Eindhoven 27–12, Feyenoord 31–10.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 73%.
- Unavailable: PSV Eindhoven 9, Feyenoord 7.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 47%, top price 2.09). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for PSV Eindhoven: S. Mijnans, A. Nagalo, A. Plea, J. Schouten, P. Wanner, S. Lammers, R. Pepi, K. Sildillia, R. van Bommel. Feyenoord will be without: T. Beelen, J. Bos, R. Nelson, B. Nieuwkoop, G. Smal, S. van Persie, J. Moder. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.12 | 4.33 | 3.23 |
| Market average | 2.03 | 4.07 | 3.11 |
| Lowest odds | 1.95 | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 1.06 | 87.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.29 | 72.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.42 | 27.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.81 | 1.76 | 53.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.31 | 1.28 | 72.2% |
| BTTS – no | 3.60 | 3.34 | 27.8% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 25/10/26, 12:59. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.0%.
The key facts
- Likely result: PSV Eindhoven 2–1 Feyenoord, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: PSV Eindhoven 3rd (23 points), Feyenoord 1st (25 points).
- Form in the competition: PSV Eindhoven 6W 1D 2L (27:12), Feyenoord 7W 2D 0L (31:10).
- H2H: 40 matches: PSV Eindhoven 17W 9D 14L, goals 73–61.
- Absences: PSV Eindhoven 9, Feyenoord 7.
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord: injuries and missing players
PSV Eindhoven
- S. Mijnansred card · will miss the match
- A. Nagaloinjury · will miss the match
- A. Pleaabsence · will miss the match
- J. Schoutenknee injury · will miss the match
- P. Wannerfoot injury · will miss the match
- S. Lammersabsence · doubtful
- R. Pepiinjury · doubtful
- K. Sildilliaabsence · doubtful
- R. van Bommelnot in the squad · doubtful
Feyenoord
- T. Beelenbroken leg · will miss the match
- J. Bosknee injury · will miss the match
- R. Nelsonmuscle injury · will miss the match
- B. Nieuwkoopknee injury · will miss the match
- G. Smalankle injury · will miss the match
- S. van Persieknock · will miss the match
- J. Moderknee injury · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3-3-6 | 13:24 | 12 |
| 14 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 12 | 0-3-9 | 11:40 | 3 |
Recent matches
PSV Eindhoven
Home and away
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord: last matches of both teams
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
PSV EindhovenWDLWLFeyenoordDDWWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord?
PSV Eindhoven -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.85); Over 3.5 goals (1.81).
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord?
Our estimate gives PSV Eindhoven a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Feyenoord 30%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 25 October 2026 at 13:30, venue Philips Stadion, Eindhoven. Referee: Serdar Gözübüyük.
Who will be missing?
PSV Eindhoven: S. Mijnans, A. Nagalo, A. Plea, J. Schouten, P. Wanner, S. Lammers, R. Pepi, K. Sildillia, R. van Bommel. Feyenoord: T. Beelen, J. Bos, R. Nelson, B. Nieuwkoop, G. Smal, S. van Persie, J. Moder. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 73% (odds 1.32) and under 2.5 goals at 27% (odds 3.60).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 72% (odds 1.31).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (8.6%), then 1–1 (8.4%) and 2–2 (7.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.