Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 18 October 2026 · 19:00 at Stadion de Goffert (Nijmegen), NEC Nijmegen take on Fortuna Sittard, with Alex Bos in charge. We make NEC Nijmegen (55%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Fortuna Sittard win, a draw. Half lost (half the stake back): Fortuna Sittard lose by 1. Loses: Fortuna Sittard lose by 2 or more.
NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. NEC Nijmegen lie 14th, having collected 11 points after 11 matches (2W 5D 4L); Fortuna Sittard lie 6th, having collected 19 points (5W 4D 2L).
What to expect
In our view NEC Nijmegen hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (9.7%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Fortuna Sittard, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.48), which we give a 65% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 63%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 65%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 65%.
- Unavailable: NEC Nijmegen 0, Fortuna Sittard 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 63%, top price 1.50). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for NEC Nijmegen: no absences. Fortuna Sittard will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.76 | 4.33 | 4.38 |
| Market average | 1.73 | 4.10 | 4.25 |
| Lowest odds | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.11 | 83.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.48 | 1.43 | 64.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.85 | 2.65 | 35.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.17 | 2.11 | 44.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.46 | 63.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.54 | 36.5% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 18/10/26, 16:40. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.8%.
The key facts
- Likely result: NEC Nijmegen 2–1 Fortuna Sittard, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: NEC Nijmegen 14th (11 points), Fortuna Sittard 6th (19 points).
- Absences: NEC Nijmegen 0, Fortuna Sittard 0.
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard: injuries and missing players
NEC Nijmegen
- No reported absences
Fortuna Sittard
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3-3-6 | 13:24 | 12 |
| 14 | NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 12 | 0-3-9 | 11:40 | 3 |
Recent matches
NEC Nijmegen
Home and away
NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard: last matches of both teams
NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?
Fortuna Sittard +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.94); Over 2.5 goals (1.48).
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?
Our estimate gives NEC Nijmegen a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fortuna Sittard 22%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 18 October 2026 at 19:00, venue Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen. Referee: Alex Bos.
Who will be missing?
NEC Nijmegen: no absences. Fortuna Sittard: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 65% (odds 1.48) and under 2.5 goals at 35% (odds 2.85).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 63% (odds 1.50).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (9.7%), then 1–1 (9.5%) and 2–0 (7.8%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.