Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 1 November 2026 · 13:00 at Coliseum Alfonso Pérez (Getafe), Getafe take on Sevilla, with Victor Garcia Verdura in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Getafe vs Sevilla: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Getafe lie 13th, having collected 12 points after 11 matches (3W 3D 5L); Sevilla lie 6th, having collected 18 points (5W 3D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Getafe average 0.5 goals for and 1.5 against, compared with 1.6 for and 1.6 against for Sevilla.
- Form in the competition. Getafe: 2W 3D 5L, goals 5–15; Sevilla: 5W 2D 3L, goals 16–16.
- Head to head. In 32 previous meetings, Getafe have taken 11 wins to Sevilla's 17 wins, plus 4 draws; the goal tally stands at 33–43.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–1 (13.3%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Over 1.5 goals (odds 1.53), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 46%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 38%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 32; Getafe 11 wins, 4 draws, Sevilla 17 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.4 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Getafe 5–15, Sevilla 16–16.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 38%.
- Unavailable: Getafe 5, Sevilla 2.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Another angle: Under 2.5 goals (probability 62%, top price 1.60). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Getafe: Juanmi, M. Martin, J. Mojica, Z. Romero, C. Uche. Sevilla will be without: Marcao, M. Sierra. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Getafe vs Sevilla: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.49 | 3.12 | 2.55 |
| Market average | 3.31 | 3.00 | 2.41 |
| Lowest odds | 3.10 | 2.81 | 2.36 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.53 | 1.49 | 63.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.50 | 38.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.53 | 62.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 5.25 | 4.88 | 19.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.10 | 2.03 | 45.9% |
| BTTS – no | 1.80 | 1.72 | 54.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 1/11/26, 12:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.1%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Getafe 0–1 Sevilla, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Getafe 13th (12 points), Sevilla 6th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: Getafe 2W 3D 5L (5:15), Sevilla 5W 2D 3L (16:16).
- H2H: 32 matches: Getafe 11W 4D 17L, goals 33–43.
- Absences: Getafe 5, Sevilla 2.
Who will win Getafe vs Sevilla?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Getafe vs Sevilla: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Getafe vs Sevilla: injuries and missing players
Getafe
- Juanmiknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Martinred card · will miss the match
- J. Mojicaabsence · will miss the match
- Z. Romeromuscle injury · will miss the match
- C. Ucheknee injury · will miss the match
Sevilla
- Marcaomuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Sierrashoulder injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Alavés | 12 | 3-4-5 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 10 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 | Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Getafe
Home and away
Getafe vs Sevilla: last matches of both teams
Getafe
Sevilla
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
GetafeWLDLWSevillaDLWLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Getafe vs Sevilla?
Under 2.5 goals (1.60); Draw or Sevilla (X2) (1.35).
Who will win Getafe vs Sevilla?
Our estimate gives Getafe a 29% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Sevilla 39%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 1 November 2026 at 13:00, venue Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe. Referee: Victor Garcia Verdura.
Who will be missing?
Getafe: Juanmi, M. Martin, J. Mojica, Z. Romero, C. Uche. Sevilla: Marcao, M. Sierra. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 38% (odds 2.62) and under 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.60).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 46% (odds 2.10).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 0–1 (13.3%), then 1–1 (13.3%) and 1–0 (11.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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