Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Gillingham vs Grimsby, 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham), with S. Mulhall officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Gillingham win, a draw. Loses: Gillingham lose.
Gillingham vs Grimsby: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Gillingham lie 8th, having collected 20 points after 14 matches (5W 5D 4L); Grimsby lie 6th, having collected 20 points (5W 5D 4L).
- Head to head. In 9 previous meetings, Gillingham have taken 1 win to Grimsby's 5 wins, plus 3 draws; the goal tally stands at 7–16.
What to expect
In our view Grimsby hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.67), which we give a 57% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 57%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 53%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 9; Gillingham 1 win, 3 draws, Grimsby 5 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.6 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 53%.
- Unavailable: Gillingham 0, Grimsby 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 53%, top price 1.80). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Gillingham: no absences. Grimsby will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Gillingham vs Grimsby: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.40 | 3.55 | 2.18 |
| Market average | 3.28 | 3.42 | 2.13 |
| Lowest odds | 3.15 | 3.25 | 2.07 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.22 | 75.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.78 | 52.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.04 | 1.98 | 47.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.94 | 31.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.63 | 57.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.16 | 42.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 13:59. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.8%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Gillingham 1–1 Grimsby, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Gillingham 8th (20 points), Grimsby 6th (20 points).
- H2H: 9 matches: Gillingham 1W 3D 5L, goals 7–16.
- Absences: Gillingham 0, Grimsby 0.
Who will win Gillingham vs Grimsby?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Gillingham vs Grimsby: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Gillingham vs Grimsby: injuries and missing players
Gillingham
- No reported absences
Grimsby
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Gillingham
Home and away
Gillingham vs Grimsby: last matches of both teams
Gillingham
Grimsby
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Gillingham vs Grimsby?
Gillingham +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.74); Both teams to score (1.67).
Who will win Gillingham vs Grimsby?
Our estimate gives Gillingham a 29% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Grimsby 44%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 15:00, venue Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham. Referee: S. Mulhall.
Who will be missing?
Gillingham: no absences. Grimsby: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.80) and under 2.5 goals at 47% (odds 2.04).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 57% (odds 1.67).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.9%), then 0–1 (9.9%) and 1–2 (9.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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