Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 5–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Grimsby welcome York on 31 October 2026 · 12:30 at Blundell Park (Grimsby), and the referee is A. Jackson. We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: York win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: York lose.
Grimsby vs York: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Grimsby lie 6th, having collected 20 points after 14 matches (5W 5D 4L); York lie 7th, having collected 20 points (5W 5D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Grimsby average 1.5 goals for and 1.2 against, compared with 1.7 for and 1.2 against for York.
- Form in the competition. Grimsby: 4W 5D 4L, goals 19–16; York: 5W 5D 3L, goals 22–16.
- Head to head. In 5 previous meetings, Grimsby have taken 1 win to York's 4 wins, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 9–10.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–2 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.53), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 63%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 60%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 5; Grimsby 1 win, 0 draws, York 4 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.8 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Grimsby 19–16, York 22–16.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 60%.
- Unavailable: Grimsby 0, York 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 61%, top price 1.55). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Grimsby: no absences. York will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Grimsby vs York: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.40 | 3.89 | 2.85 |
| Market average | 2.33 | 3.65 | 2.67 |
| Lowest odds | 2.17 | 3.21 | 2.51 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 80.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.57 | 59.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.45 | 2.34 | 40.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.38 | 38.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.48 | 62.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.50 | 37.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 09:43. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.9%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Grimsby 1–1 York, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Grimsby 6th (20 points), York 7th (20 points).
- Form in the competition: Grimsby 4W 5D 4L (19:16), York 5W 5D 3L (22:16).
- H2H: 5 matches: Grimsby 1W 0D 4L, goals 9–10.
- Absences: Grimsby 0, York 0.
Who will win Grimsby vs York?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Grimsby vs York: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Grimsby vs York: injuries and missing players
Grimsby
- No reported absences
York
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Grimsby
Home and away
Grimsby vs York: last matches of both teams
Grimsby
York
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
GrimsbyWWDLLYorkLLWDDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Grimsby vs York?
York +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.80); Both teams to score (1.53).
Who will win Grimsby vs York?
Our estimate gives Grimsby a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and York 35%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 12:30, venue Blundell Park, Grimsby. Referee: A. Jackson.
Who will be missing?
Grimsby: no absences. York: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.60) and under 2.5 goals at 40% (odds 2.45).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 63% (odds 1.53).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.8%), then 2–1 (8.6%) and 1–2 (8.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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