Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach, 6 November 2026 · 19:30 at Volksparkstadion (Hamburger), with Sven Jablonski officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Hamburger SV lie 8th, having collected 12 points after 9 matches (4W 0D 5L); Borussia Mönchengladbach lie 18th, having collected 4 points (1W 1D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Hamburger SV average 0.9 goals for and 2.4 against, compared with 1.4 for and 2.8 against for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
- Form in the competition. Hamburger SV: 3W 0D 5L, goals 7–19; Borussia Mönchengladbach: 1W 1D 6L, goals 11–22.
- Head to head. In 19 previous meetings, Hamburger SV have taken 6 wins to Borussia Mönchengladbach's 6 wins, plus 7 draws; the goal tally stands at 21–22.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.46), which we give a 66% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 59%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 54%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 19; Hamburger SV 6 wins, 7 draws, Borussia Mönchengladbach 6 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.3 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Hamburger SV 7–19, Borussia Mönchengladbach 11–22.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 54%.
- Unavailable: Hamburger SV 6, Borussia Mönchengladbach 9.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 59%, top price 1.62). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Hamburger SV: B. Nadir, N. Remberg, F. Vieira, M. Vuskovic, N. Capaldo, Y. Poulsen. Borussia Mönchengladbach will be without: H. Bolin, N. Kuhn, E. Leopold, J. Leszczynski, K. Diks, F. Fleck, F. Honorat, T. Kleindienst, M. Nicolas. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.48 | 3.50 | 3.11 |
| Market average | 2.36 | 3.41 | 2.97 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.85 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.22 | 76.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.84 | 1.76 | 54.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.14 | 2.09 | 45.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.86 | 2.78 | 33.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.59 | 58.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.26 | 41.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 6/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.3%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Hamburger SV 1–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Hamburger SV 8th (12 points), Borussia Mönchengladbach 18th (4 points).
- Form in the competition: Hamburger SV 3W 0D 5L (7:19), Borussia Mönchengladbach 1W 1D 6L (11:22).
- H2H: 19 matches: Hamburger SV 6W 7D 6L, goals 21–22.
- Absences: Hamburger SV 6, Borussia Mönchengladbach 9.
Who will win Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: injuries and missing players
Hamburger SV
- B. Nadirmuscle injury · will miss the match
- N. Rembergknee injury · will miss the match
- F. Vieirathigh injury · will miss the match
- M. Vuskovicabsence · will miss the match
- N. Capaldomuscle injury · doubtful
- Y. Poulsenhip injury · doubtful
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- H. Bolinmuscle injury · will miss the match
- N. Kuhnmuscle injury · will miss the match
- E. Leopoldknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Leszczynskiknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Diksabsence · doubtful
- F. Fleckmuscle injury · doubtful
- F. Honoratmuscle injury · doubtful
- T. Kleindienstmuscle injury · doubtful
- M. Nicolasinjury · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 4-0-5 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 9 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 11 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 13 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 15 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 1-1-7 | 12:25 | 4 |
Recent matches
Hamburger SV
Home and away
Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: last matches of both teams
Hamburger SV
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Hamburger SVWLLWWBorussia MönchengladbachLDWLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Over 2.5 goals (1.84); Hamburger SV or draw (1X) (1.44).
Who will win Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Our estimate gives Hamburger SV a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Borussia Mönchengladbach 32%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 6 November 2026 at 19:30, venue Volksparkstadion, Hamburger. Referee: Sven Jablonski.
Who will be missing?
Hamburger SV: B. Nadir, N. Remberg, F. Vieira, M. Vuskovic, N. Capaldo, Y. Poulsen. Borussia Mönchengladbach: H. Bolin, N. Kuhn, E. Leopold, J. Leszczynski, K. Diks, F. Fleck, F. Honorat, T. Kleindienst, M. Nicolas. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.84) and under 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.14).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 59% (odds 1.62).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.9%), then 1–0 (9.1%) and 2–1 (8.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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