Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
SC Paderborn 07 welcome Hamburger SV on 24 October 2026 · 14:30 at Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn), and the referee is M. Petersen. We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Hamburger SV win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Hamburger SV lose.
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. SC Paderborn 07 lie 15th, having collected 9 points after 8 matches (2W 3D 3L); Hamburger SV lie 8th, having collected 12 points (4W 0D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, SC Paderborn 07 average 0.8 goals for and 1.5 against, compared with 1.0 for and 2.5 against for Hamburger SV.
- Form in the competition. SC Paderborn 07: 1W 2D 3L, goals 5–9; Hamburger SV: 3W 0D 3L, goals 6–15.
- Head to head. In 16 previous meetings, SC Paderborn 07 have taken 7 wins to Hamburger SV's 7 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 26–25.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.0%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 62%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 59%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 16; SC Paderborn 07 7 wins, 2 draws, Hamburger SV 7 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.2 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: SC Paderborn 07 5–9, Hamburger SV 6–15.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
- Unavailable: SC Paderborn 07 5, Hamburger SV 2.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 62%, top price 1.53). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for SC Paderborn 07: N. Awortwie-Grant, O. Batista Meier, T. Gayret, M. Hoffmeier, S. Klaas. Hamburger SV will be without: N. Remberg, M. Vuskovic. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.46 | 3.86 | 2.92 |
| Market average | 2.39 | 3.65 | 2.80 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.63 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.18 | 79.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.68 | 1.61 | 58.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.29 | 41.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.51 | 37.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.50 | 62.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.46 | 37.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 12:03. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.1%.
The key facts
- Likely result: SC Paderborn 07 1–1 Hamburger SV, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: SC Paderborn 07 15th (9 points), Hamburger SV 8th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: SC Paderborn 07 1W 2D 3L (5:9), Hamburger SV 3W 0D 3L (6:15).
- H2H: 16 matches: SC Paderborn 07 7W 2D 7L, goals 26–25.
- Absences: SC Paderborn 07 5, Hamburger SV 2.
Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV: injuries and missing players
SC Paderborn 07
- N. Awortwie-Grantknee injury · will miss the match
- O. Batista Meierankle injury · will miss the match
- T. Gayretknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Hoffmeiermuscle injury · will miss the match
- S. Klaasmuscle injury · will miss the match
Hamburger SV
- N. Rembergknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Vuskovicabsence · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 4-0-5 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 9 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 11 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 13 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 15 | SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 1-1-7 | 12:25 | 4 |
Recent matches
SC Paderborn 07
Home and away
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV: last matches of both teams
SC Paderborn 07
Hamburger SV
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
SC Paderborn 07DWDLWHamburger SVWLLWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV?
Hamburger SV +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.85); Under 3.5 goals (1.57).
Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV?
Our estimate gives SC Paderborn 07 a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Hamburger SV 34%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 14:30, venue Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn. Referee: M. Petersen.
Who will be missing?
SC Paderborn 07: N. Awortwie-Grant, O. Batista Meier, T. Gayret, M. Hoffmeier, S. Klaas. Hamburger SV: N. Remberg, M. Vuskovic. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.68) and under 2.5 goals at 41% (odds 2.38).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 62% (odds 1.53).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.0%), then 2–1 (8.8%) and 1–2 (8.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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