Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at McDiarmid Park (Perth), ST Johnstone take on Motherwell. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: ST Johnstone win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: ST Johnstone lose.
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. ST Johnstone lie 7th, having collected 14 points after 12 matches (3W 5D 4L); Motherwell lie 9th, having collected 12 points (3W 3D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, ST Johnstone average 1.1 goals for and 1.5 against, compared with 1.1 for and 1.8 against for Motherwell.
- Form in the competition. ST Johnstone: 3W 3D 4L, goals 11–15; Motherwell: 2W 2D 6L, goals 11–18.
- Head to head. In 58 previous meetings, ST Johnstone have taken 25 wins to Motherwell's 22 wins, plus 11 draws; the goal tally stands at 78–82.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.1%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.70), which we give a 56% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 56%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 52%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 58; ST Johnstone 25 wins, 11 draws, Motherwell 22 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.8 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: ST Johnstone 11–15, Motherwell 11–18.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
- Unavailable: ST Johnstone 0, Motherwell 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 52%, top price 1.86). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for ST Johnstone: no absences. Motherwell will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.61 | 3.60 | 2.83 |
| Market average | 2.53 | 3.43 | 2.73 |
| Lowest odds | 2.45 | 3.32 | 2.65 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.24 | 75.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.86 | 1.82 | 52.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.03 | 1.99 | 47.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.05 | 30.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.66 | 55.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.14 | 2.09 | 44.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.5%.
The key facts
- Likely result: ST Johnstone 1–1 Motherwell, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: ST Johnstone 7th (14 points), Motherwell 9th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: ST Johnstone 3W 3D 4L (11:15), Motherwell 2W 2D 6L (11:18).
- H2H: 58 matches: ST Johnstone 25W 11D 22L, goals 78–82.
- Absences: ST Johnstone 0, Motherwell 0.
Who will win ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell: injuries and missing players
ST Johnstone
- No reported absences
Motherwell
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee United | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 | ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
ST Johnstone
Home and away
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell: last matches of both teams
ST Johnstone
Motherwell
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
ST JohnstoneDDLDWMotherwellWDLLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?
ST Johnstone +0 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Both teams to score (1.70).
Who will win ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?
Our estimate gives ST Johnstone a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Motherwell 35%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 28 October 2026 at 19:45, venue McDiarmid Park, Perth.
Who will be missing?
ST Johnstone: no absences. Motherwell: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.86) and under 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.03).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 56% (odds 1.70).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.1%), then 1–0 (8.9%) and 0–1 (8.6%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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