Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–6. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lillestrøm welcome Real Sociedad on 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Åråsen Stadion (Lillestrøm), and the referee is Mohammad Al-Emara. Real Sociedad (68%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Lillestrøm lie 34th, having collected 1 point after 4 matches (0W 1D 3L); Real Sociedad lie 20th, having collected 5 points (1W 2D 1L).
- Head to head. In 1 previous meetings, Lillestrøm have taken 0 wins to Real Sociedad's 1 win, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 0–6.
What to expect
In our view Real Sociedad hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–2 (9.5%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.62), which we give a 61% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 61%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 69%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 1; Lillestrøm 0 wins, 0 draws, Real Sociedad 1 win.
- Head to head meetings have produced 6.0 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 69%.
- Unavailable: Lillestrøm 0, Real Sociedad 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 51%, top price 1.95). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Lillestrøm: no absences. Real Sociedad will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 7.00 | 5.52 | 1.45 |
| Market average | 6.68 | 5.25 | 1.40 |
| Lowest odds | 6.00 | 4.80 | 1.36 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.09 | 85.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.36 | 68.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.26 | 3.03 | 31.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.13 | 1.96 | 48.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.53 | 60.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.39 | 39.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 22/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.6%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Lillestrøm 1–2 Real Sociedad, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lillestrøm 34th (1 point), Real Sociedad 20th (5 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Lillestrøm 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–6.
- Absences: Lillestrøm 0, Real Sociedad 0.
Who will win Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad: injuries and missing players
Lillestrøm
- No reported absences
Real Sociedad
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 4 | 4-0-0 | 13:3 | 12 |
| 2 |  Bournemouth | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:2 | 12 |
| 3 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 4 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 4 | 3-1-0 | 10:2 | 10 |
| 5 |  Juventus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 6 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 7 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | 2-1-1 | 11:8 | 7 |
| 9 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 2-1-1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 10 |  Levski Sofia | 4 | 2-1-1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Sunderland | 4 | 2-1-1 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 2-1-1 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lyon | 4 | 2-1-1 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 2-0-2 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Anderlecht | 4 | 2-0-2 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 16 |  OFI | 4 | 2-0-2 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 17 |  Rennes | 4 | 1-3-0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 4 | 2-0-2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 19 |  Torreense | 4 | 2-0-2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 20 | Real Sociedad | 4 | 1-2-1 | 9:4 | 5 |
| 21 |  Crystal Palace | 4 | 1-2-1 | 9:6 | 5 |
| 22 |  Sparta Praha | 4 | 1-1-2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1-1-2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 24 |  Sturm Graz | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 25 |  Celje | 4 | 1-1-2 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 26 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 27 |  Celta Vigo | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  AC Milan | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Jagiellonia | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 30 |  Plzeň | 4 | 1-0-3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 31 |  Marseille | 4 | 1-0-3 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 32 |  Celtic | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 33 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | 0-1-3 | 1:8 | 1 |
| 34 | Lillestrøm | 4 | 0-1-3 | 2:10 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lech Poznań | 4 | 0-1-3 | 2:12 | 1 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 4 | 0-0-4 | 4:14 | 0 |
Recent matches
Lillestrøm
Home and away
Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad: last matches of both teams
Lillestrøm
Real Sociedad
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad?
Under 3.5 goals (1.95); Real Sociedad to win (1.45).
Who will win Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad?
Our estimate gives Lillestrøm a 14% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Real Sociedad 68%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 22 October 2026 at 20:00, venue Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrøm. Referee: Mohammad Al-Emara.
Who will be missing?
Lillestrøm: no absences. Real Sociedad: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 69% (odds 1.44) and under 2.5 goals at 31% (odds 3.26).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 61% (odds 1.62).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–2 (9.5%), then 0–2 (9.1%) and 1–3 (7.8%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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