Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm, 18 October 2026 · 16:00 at Sandefjord Arena (Sandefjord), with Tore Hansen, Norway officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Sandefjord win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Sandefjord lose.
Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Sandefjord lie 12th, having collected 27 points after 25 matches (7W 6D 12L); Lillestrøm lie 5th, having collected 42 points (13W 3D 9L).
- Head to head. In 18 previous meetings, Sandefjord have taken 3 wins to Lillestrøm's 12 wins, plus 3 draws; the goal tally stands at 20–37.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–2 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Lillestrøm, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.50), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 64%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 60%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 18; Sandefjord 3 wins, 3 draws, Lillestrøm 12 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.2 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 60%.
- Unavailable: Sandefjord 0, Lillestrøm 0.
Alternative tip: Sandefjord or draw (1X)
Another angle: Sandefjord or draw (1X) (probability 63%, top price 1.50). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Sandefjord: no absences. Lillestrøm will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.61 | 3.68 | 2.64 |
| Market average | 2.51 | 3.58 | 2.54 |
| Lowest odds | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.15 | 80.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.61 | 1.55 | 59.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.31 | 40.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.48 | 2.36 | 39.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.45 | 63.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.58 | 2.53 | 36.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 18/10/26, 12:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.2%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Sandefjord 1–1 Lillestrøm, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Sandefjord 12th (27 points), Lillestrøm 5th (42 points).
- H2H: 18 matches: Sandefjord 3W 3D 12L, goals 20–37.
- Absences: Sandefjord 0, Lillestrøm 0.
Who will win Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm: injuries and missing players
Sandefjord
- No reported absences
Lillestrøm
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 | Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Sandefjord
Home and away
Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm: last matches of both teams
Sandefjord
Lillestrøm
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm?
Sandefjord +0 (Asian handicap) (1.93); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Sandefjord vs Lillestrøm?
Our estimate gives Sandefjord a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Lillestrøm 37%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 18 October 2026 at 16:00, venue Sandefjord Arena, Sandefjord. Referee: Tore Hansen, Norway.
Who will be missing?
Sandefjord: no absences. Lillestrøm: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.61) and under 2.5 goals at 40% (odds 2.40).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 64% (odds 1.50).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.8%), then 1–2 (8.4%) and 2–1 (8.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.