Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Marítimo vs Santa Clara, 1 November 2026 · 18:00 at Estádio do Marítimo (Funchal), with Carlos Macedo officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Santa Clara win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Santa Clara lose.
Marítimo vs Santa Clara: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Marítimo lie 14th, having collected 8 points after 10 matches (2W 2D 6L); Santa Clara lie 4th, having collected 21 points (6W 3D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Marítimo average 1.0 goals for and 2.1 against, compared with 1.4 for and 0.7 against for Santa Clara.
- Form in the competition. Marítimo: 2W 2D 5L, goals 9–19; Santa Clara: 5W 3D 1L, goals 13–6.
- Head to head. In 14 previous meetings, Marítimo have taken 6 wins to Santa Clara's 5 wins, plus 3 draws; the goal tally stands at 18–16.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–1 (13.3%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Over 1.5 goals (odds 1.52), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 46%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 39%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 14; Marítimo 6 wins, 3 draws, Santa Clara 5 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.4 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Marítimo 9–19, Santa Clara 13–6.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 39%.
- Unavailable: Marítimo 0, Santa Clara 0.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Another angle: Under 2.5 goals (probability 61%, top price 1.62). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Marítimo: no absences. Santa Clara will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Marítimo vs Santa Clara: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.35 | 3.18 | 2.48 |
| Market average | 3.18 | 3.03 | 2.35 |
| Lowest odds | 3.10 | 2.88 | 2.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.52 | 1.46 | 64.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.57 | 2.43 | 38.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 1.54 | 61.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 5.13 | 4.68 | 20.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.05 | 2.00 | 46.4% |
| BTTS – no | 1.82 | 1.73 | 53.6% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 1/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.9%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Marítimo 0–1 Santa Clara, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Marítimo 14th (8 points), Santa Clara 4th (21 points).
- Form in the competition: Marítimo 2W 2D 5L (9:19), Santa Clara 5W 3D 1L (13:6).
- H2H: 14 matches: Marítimo 6W 3D 5L, goals 18–16.
- Absences: Marítimo 0, Santa Clara 0.
Who will win Marítimo vs Santa Clara?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Marítimo vs Santa Clara: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Marítimo vs Santa Clara: injuries and missing players
Marítimo
- No reported absences
Santa Clara
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 10 | 10-0-0 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 10 | 8-1-1 | 27:8 | 25 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6-3-1 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 10 | 6-3-1 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 11 | 6-2-3 | 13:8 | 20 |
| 6 |  Académico Viseu | 10 | 6-2-2 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 10 | 4-3-3 | 8:7 | 15 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4-2-4 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 10 | 4-2-4 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 |  Famalicão | 11 | 3-4-4 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 11 |  Alverca | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 10 | 2-4-4 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 14 | Marítimo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 10 | 2-1-7 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2-1-7 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0-2-8 | 5:19 | 2 |
Recent matches
Marítimo
Home and away
Marítimo vs Santa Clara: last matches of both teams
Marítimo
Santa Clara
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
MarítimoLLLDLSanta ClaraWLWDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Marítimo vs Santa Clara?
Santa Clara +0 (Asian handicap) (1.73); Over 1.5 goals (1.52).
Who will win Marítimo vs Santa Clara?
Our estimate gives Marítimo a 29% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Santa Clara 40%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 1 November 2026 at 18:00, venue Estádio do Marítimo, Funchal. Referee: Carlos Macedo.
Who will be missing?
Marítimo: no absences. Santa Clara: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 39% (odds 2.57) and under 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.62).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 46% (odds 2.05).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 0–1 (13.3%), then 1–1 (13.3%) and 1–0 (11.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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