Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 26 October 2026 · 18:45 at Estádio de São Miguel (Ponta Delgada), Santa Clara take on Benfica, with C. Pereira in charge. We make Benfica (70%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Santa Clara win, a draw, Santa Clara lose by 1. Loses: Santa Clara lose by 2 or more.
Santa Clara vs Benfica: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Santa Clara lie 4th, having collected 21 points after 10 matches (6W 3D 1L); Benfica lie 2nd, having collected 25 points (8W 1D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Santa Clara average 1.5 goals for and 0.5 against, compared with 3.0 for and 0.9 against for Benfica.
- Form in the competition. Santa Clara: 5W 3D 0L, goals 12–4; Benfica: 6W 1D 1L, goals 24–7.
- Head to head. In 16 previous meetings, Santa Clara have taken 1 win to Benfica's 13 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 13–40.
What to expect
In our view Benfica hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–2 (12.0%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 50%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 59%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 16; Santa Clara 1 win, 2 draws, Benfica 13 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.3 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Santa Clara 12–4, Benfica 24–7.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
- Unavailable: Santa Clara 0, Benfica 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, top price 1.66). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Santa Clara: no absences. Benfica will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Santa Clara vs Benfica: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 9.50 | 5.40 | 1.42 |
| Market average | 8.00 | 5.05 | 1.35 |
| Lowest odds | 7.50 | 4.75 | 1.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.18 | 79.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.66 | 1.62 | 58.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.28 | 41.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.67 | 2.54 | 36.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.00 | 1.87 | 49.7% |
| BTTS – no | 1.90 | 1.85 | 50.3% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 26/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.5%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Santa Clara 0–2 Benfica, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Santa Clara 4th (21 points), Benfica 2nd (25 points).
- Form in the competition: Santa Clara 5W 3D 0L (12:4), Benfica 6W 1D 1L (24:7).
- H2H: 16 matches: Santa Clara 1W 2D 13L, goals 13–40.
- Absences: Santa Clara 0, Benfica 0.
Who will win Santa Clara vs Benfica?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Santa Clara vs Benfica: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Santa Clara vs Benfica: injuries and missing players
Santa Clara
- No reported absences
Benfica
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 10 | 10-0-0 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 | Benfica | 10 | 8-1-1 | 27:8 | 25 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6-3-1 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 10 | 6-3-1 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 11 | 6-2-3 | 13:8 | 20 |
| 6 |  Académico Viseu | 10 | 6-2-2 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 10 | 4-3-3 | 8:7 | 15 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4-2-4 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 10 | 4-2-4 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 |  Famalicão | 11 | 3-4-4 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 11 |  Alverca | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 10 | 2-4-4 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 14 |  Marítimo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 10 | 2-1-7 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2-1-7 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0-2-8 | 5:19 | 2 |
Recent matches
Santa Clara
Home and away
Santa Clara vs Benfica: last matches of both teams
Santa Clara
Benfica
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Santa ClaraWLWDWBenficaWWWLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Santa Clara vs Benfica?
Santa Clara +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.92); Under 3.5 goals (1.53).
Who will win Santa Clara vs Benfica?
Our estimate gives Santa Clara a 12% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Benfica 70%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 26 October 2026 at 18:45, venue Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada. Referee: C. Pereira.
Who will be missing?
Santa Clara: no absences. Benfica: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.66) and under 2.5 goals at 41% (odds 2.38).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 50% (odds 2.00).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 0–2 (12.0%), then 0–1 (10.7%) and 1–2 (9.6%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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