Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at Stade Louis II (Fontvieille), Monaco take on FC Nordsjælland, with Antoni Bandić, Bosnia & Herzegovina in charge. We make Monaco (64%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: FC Nordsjælland win, a draw, FC Nordsjælland lose by 1. Loses: FC Nordsjælland lose by 2 or more.
Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Monaco lie 4th, having collected 9 points after 3 matches (3W 0D 0L); FC Nordsjælland lie 25th, having collected 2 points (0W 2D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Monaco average 3.0 goals for and 1.0 against, compared with 2.5 for and 0.8 against for FC Nordsjælland.
- Form in the competition. Monaco: 4W 0D 0L, goals 12–4; FC Nordsjælland: 5W 2D 1L, goals 20–6.
What to expect
In our view Monaco hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (9.7%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), which we give a 66% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 61%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 66%.
The prediction at a glance
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Monaco 12–4, FC Nordsjælland 20–6.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 66%.
- Unavailable: Monaco 0, FC Nordsjælland 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 61%, top price 1.55). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Monaco: no absences. FC Nordsjælland will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.53 | 5.05 | 6.04 |
| Market average | 1.47 | 4.80 | 5.68 |
| Lowest odds | 1.42 | 4.50 | 5.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.11 | 84.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.41 | 66.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.89 | 2.78 | 33.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.12 | 2.05 | 46.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.51 | 61.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.39 | 38.8% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 5/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.6%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Monaco 2–1 FC Nordsjælland, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Monaco 4th (9 points), FC Nordsjælland 25th (2 points).
- Form in the competition: Monaco 4W 0D 0L (12:4), FC Nordsjælland 5W 2D 1L (20:6).
- Absences: Monaco 0, FC Nordsjælland 0.
Who will win Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland: injuries and missing players
Monaco
- No reported absences
FC Nordsjælland
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Lugano | 3 | 3-0-0 | 11:4 | 9 |
| 2 |  Panathinaikos | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Twente | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 4 | Monaco | 3 | 3-0-0 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Brighton | 3 | 2-1-0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 6 |  Brann | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 7 |  FC Copenhagen | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Universitatea Craiova | 3 | 2-1-0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 9 |  Mjällby AIF | 3 | 2-1-0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 10 |  St. Truiden | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Ajax | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:3 | 6 |
| 12 |  Trabzonspor | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 13 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 3 | 2-0-1 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 14 |  SC Freiburg | 3 | 2-0-1 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 15 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 1-1-1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atalanta | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 17 |  SC Braga | 3 | 1-1-1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Gent | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:2 | 4 |
| 19 |  Riga | 3 | 0-3-0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 20 |  FC Thun | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 21 |  Borac Banja Luka | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 22 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 23 |  FK Jablonec | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 24 |  Aarhus | 3 | 0-2-1 | 1:2 | 2 |
| 25 | FC Nordsjælland | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:5 | 2 |
| 26 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 3 | 0-2-1 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 27 |  Kairat Almaty | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:7 | 2 |
| 28 |  CSKA Sofia | 3 | 0-1-2 | 4:6 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 30 |  Pafos | 3 | 0-1-2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 31 |  Getafe | 3 | 0-1-2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 32 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 33 |  KuPS | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Midtjylland | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Monaco
Home and away
Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland: last matches of both teams
Monaco
FC Nordsjælland
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
MonacoWWWFC NordsjællandLDDReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland?
FC Nordsjælland +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.83); Over 2.5 goals (1.47).
Who will win Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland?
Our estimate gives Monaco a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Nordsjælland 17%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 5 November 2026 at 20:00, venue Stade Louis II, Fontvieille. Referee: Antoni Bandić, Bosnia & Herzegovina.
Who will be missing?
Monaco: no absences. FC Nordsjælland: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 66% (odds 1.47) and under 2.5 goals at 34% (odds 2.89).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 61% (odds 1.55).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (9.7%), then 2–0 (8.8%) and 1–1 (8.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.