Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Monaco vs SC Freiburg, 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Stade Louis II (Fontvieille), with Samuel Barrott, England officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Monaco vs SC Freiburg: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Monaco lie 4th, having collected 9 points after 3 matches (3W 0D 0L); SC Freiburg lie 14th, having collected 6 points (2W 0D 1L).
What to expect
In our view Monaco hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.1%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 62%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 58%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
- Unavailable: Monaco 0, SC Freiburg 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 62%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Monaco: no absences. SC Freiburg will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Monaco vs SC Freiburg: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.26 | 3.75 | 3.18 |
| Market average | 2.20 | 3.61 | 3.04 |
| Lowest odds | 2.10 | 3.33 | 2.78 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 79.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.62 | 58.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.27 | 41.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.57 | 2.46 | 38.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.51 | 61.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.60 | 2.44 | 38.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 22/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.2%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Monaco 1–1 SC Freiburg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Monaco 4th (9 points), SC Freiburg 14th (6 points).
- Absences: Monaco 0, SC Freiburg 0.
Who will win Monaco vs SC Freiburg?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Monaco vs SC Freiburg: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Monaco vs SC Freiburg: injuries and missing players
Monaco
- No reported absences
SC Freiburg
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Lugano | 3 | 3-0-0 | 11:4 | 9 |
| 2 |  Panathinaikos | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Twente | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 4 | Monaco | 3 | 3-0-0 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Brighton | 3 | 2-1-0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 6 |  Brann | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 7 |  FC Copenhagen | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Universitatea Craiova | 3 | 2-1-0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 9 |  Mjällby AIF | 3 | 2-1-0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 10 |  St. Truiden | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Ajax | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:3 | 6 |
| 12 |  Trabzonspor | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 13 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 3 | 2-0-1 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 14 | SC Freiburg | 3 | 2-0-1 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 15 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 1-1-1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atalanta | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 17 |  SC Braga | 3 | 1-1-1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Gent | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:2 | 4 |
| 19 |  Riga | 3 | 0-3-0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 20 |  FC Thun | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 21 |  Borac Banja Luka | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 22 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 23 |  FK Jablonec | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 24 |  Aarhus | 3 | 0-2-1 | 1:2 | 2 |
| 25 |  FC Nordsjælland | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:5 | 2 |
| 26 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 3 | 0-2-1 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 27 |  Kairat Almaty | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:7 | 2 |
| 28 |  CSKA Sofia | 3 | 0-1-2 | 4:6 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 30 |  Pafos | 3 | 0-1-2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 31 |  Getafe | 3 | 0-1-2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 32 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 33 |  KuPS | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Midtjylland | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Monaco
Home and away
Monaco vs SC Freiburg: last matches of both teams
Monaco
SC Freiburg
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Monaco vs SC Freiburg?
Over 2.5 goals (1.70); Monaco or draw (1X) (1.40).
Who will win Monaco vs SC Freiburg?
Our estimate gives Monaco a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and SC Freiburg 31%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 22 October 2026 at 20:00, venue Stade Louis II, Fontvieille. Referee: Samuel Barrott, England.
Who will be missing?
Monaco: no absences. SC Freiburg: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.70) and under 2.5 goals at 42% (odds 2.35).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 62% (odds 1.57).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.1%), then 2–1 (9.1%) and 1–0 (8.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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