Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Paris FC welcome Monaco on 1 November 2026 · 16:15 at Stade Jean-Bouin (Paris), and the referee is Jeremy Stinat. We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Paris FC win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Paris FC lose.
Paris FC vs Monaco: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Paris FC lie 4th, having collected 17 points after 9 matches (5W 2D 2L); Monaco lie 7th, having collected 15 points (4W 3D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Paris FC average 1.6 goals for and 1.1 against, compared with 1.4 for and 0.9 against for Monaco.
- Form in the competition. Paris FC: 4W 2D 2L, goals 13–9; Monaco: 4W 3D 1L, goals 11–7.
- Head to head. In 3 previous meetings, Paris FC have taken 3 wins to Monaco's 0 wins, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 8–2.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.46), which we give a 67% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 59%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 54%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 3; Paris FC 3 wins, 0 draws, Monaco 0 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.3 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Paris FC 13–9, Monaco 11–7.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 54%.
- Unavailable: Paris FC 6, Monaco 3.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 59%, top price 1.65). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Paris FC: L. Koleosho, N. Sangui, A. Camara, S. Chergui, J. Ikone, K. Trapp. Monaco will be without: A. Fati, S. Idumbo, M. Salisu. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Paris FC vs Monaco: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.57 | 3.70 | 2.82 |
| Market average | 2.49 | 3.52 | 2.74 |
| Lowest odds | 2.39 | 3.21 | 2.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.23 | 76.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.83 | 1.77 | 54.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.17 | 2.08 | 46.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.83 | 33.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.65 | 1.59 | 58.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.25 | 41.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 1/11/26, 13:03. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.2%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Paris FC 1–1 Monaco, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Paris FC 4th (17 points), Monaco 7th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Paris FC 4W 2D 2L (13:9), Monaco 4W 3D 1L (11:7).
- H2H: 3 matches: Paris FC 3W 0D 0L, goals 8–2.
- Absences: Paris FC 6, Monaco 3.
Who will win Paris FC vs Monaco?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Paris FC vs Monaco: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Paris FC vs Monaco: injuries and missing players
Paris FC
- L. Koleoshomuscle injury · will miss the match
- N. Sanguimuscle injury · will miss the match
- A. Camarahamstring injury · doubtful
- S. Cherguiknee injury · doubtful
- J. Ikonethigh injury · doubtful
- K. Trappillness · doubtful
Monaco
- A. Fatihamstring injury · will miss the match
- S. Idumbogroin injury · will miss the match
- M. Salisuabsence · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 10 | 3-4-3 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 12 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 10 | 3-1-6 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Paris FC
Home and away
Paris FC vs Monaco: last matches of both teams
Paris FC
Monaco
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Paris FCWLWLWMonacoLDLDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Paris FC vs Monaco?
Paris FC +0 (Asian handicap) (1.89); Under 3.5 goals (1.46).
Who will win Paris FC vs Monaco?
Our estimate gives Paris FC a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Monaco 35%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 1 November 2026 at 16:15, venue Stade Jean-Bouin, Paris. Referee: Jeremy Stinat.
Who will be missing?
Paris FC: L. Koleosho, N. Sangui, A. Camara, S. Chergui, J. Ikone, K. Trapp. Monaco: A. Fati, S. Idumbo, M. Salisu. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.83) and under 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.17).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 59% (odds 1.65).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.9%), then 1–0 (8.8%) and 2–1 (8.6%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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