Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 24 October 2026 · 17:15 at The King Power AT Den Dreef Stadium (Heverlee), OH Leuven take on Lommel United, with Jan Boterberg, Belgium in charge. We make OH Leuven (50%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: OH Leuven win. Loses: a draw, OH Leuven lose.
OH Leuven vs Lommel United: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. OH Leuven lie 14th, having collected 9 points after 10 matches (2W 3D 5L); Lommel United lie 8th, having collected 15 points (4W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, OH Leuven average 0.8 goals for and 1.8 against, compared with 1.1 for and 1.1 against for Lommel United.
- Form in the competition. OH Leuven: 1W 2D 5L, goals 6–14; Lommel United: 3W 2D 3L, goals 9–9.
- Head to head. In 18 previous meetings, OH Leuven have taken 10 wins to Lommel United's 3 wins, plus 5 draws; the goal tally stands at 36–21.
What to expect
In our view OH Leuven hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.7%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Lommel United, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 61%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 59%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 18; OH Leuven 10 wins, 5 draws, Lommel United 3 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.2 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: OH Leuven 6–14, Lommel United 9–9.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
- Unavailable: OH Leuven 0, Lommel United 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 61%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for OH Leuven: no absences. Lommel United will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
OH Leuven vs Lommel United: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.95 | 3.93 | 3.89 |
| Market average | 1.89 | 3.76 | 3.67 |
| Lowest odds | 1.83 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 80.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 1.58 | 59.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.46 | 2.33 | 40.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.45 | 38.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.36 | 39.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 12:03. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: OH Leuven 1–1 Lommel United, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: OH Leuven 14th (9 points), Lommel United 8th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: OH Leuven 1W 2D 5L (6:14), Lommel United 3W 2D 3L (9:9).
- H2H: 18 matches: OH Leuven 10W 5D 3L, goals 36–21.
- Absences: OH Leuven 0, Lommel United 0.
Who will win OH Leuven vs Lommel United?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
OH Leuven vs Lommel United: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
OH Leuven vs Lommel United: injuries and missing players
OH Leuven
- No reported absences
Lommel United
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club Brugge KV | 10 | 9-0-1 | 26:8 | 27 |
| 2 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 10 | 8-2-0 | 29:7 | 26 |
| 3 |  Gent | 10 | 8-1-1 | 19:6 | 25 |
| 4 |  Charleroi | 10 | 8-0-2 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 5 |  Anderlecht | 10 | 6-1-3 | 13:11 | 19 |
| 6 |  Genk | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 7 |  Standard Liège | 11 | 4-3-4 | 18:16 | 15 |
| 8 | Lommel United | 10 | 4-3-3 | 13:11 | 15 |
| 9 |  KVC Westerlo | 10 | 4-2-4 | 25:25 | 14 |
| 10 |  KV Mechelen | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:18 | 12 |
| 11 |  Zulte Waregem | 10 | 3-2-5 | 12:16 | 11 |
| 12 |  Antwerp | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:22 | 10 |
| 13 |  SK Beveren | 11 | 3-1-7 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 14 | OH Leuven | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 15 |  St. Truiden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 18:21 | 8 |
| 16 |  RAAL La Louvière | 10 | 2-1-7 | 13:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Cercle Brugge | 10 | 1-3-6 | 13:22 | 6 |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 10 | 1-1-8 | 4:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
OH Leuven
Home and away
OH Leuven vs Lommel United: last matches of both teams
OH Leuven
Lommel United
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
OH LeuvenWDDWDLommel UnitedWDWDLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for OH Leuven vs Lommel United?
OH Leuven -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.92); Under 3.5 goals (1.55).
Who will win OH Leuven vs Lommel United?
Our estimate gives OH Leuven a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lommel United 26%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 17:15, venue The King Power AT Den Dreef Stadium, Heverlee. Referee: Jan Boterberg, Belgium.
Who will be missing?
OH Leuven: no absences. Lommel United: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.62) and under 2.5 goals at 41% (odds 2.46).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 61% (odds 1.57).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.7%), then 2–1 (9.6%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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