Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia (La Liga, 22 November 2026, 16:00): Rayo Vallecano +0 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.55. Second tip: Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.86. The bookmakers' odds give Rayo Vallecano 47%, the draw 28% and Valencia 25%. The most likely score is 1–1.
Wins: Rayo Vallecano win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Rayo Vallecano lose.
Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Rayo Vallecano lie 12th, having collected 12 points after 10 matches (3W 3D 4L); Valencia lie 19th, having collected 9 points (2W 3D 6L).
What to expect
In our view Rayo Vallecano hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.3%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.86), which we give a 53% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 51%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 47%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 47%.
- Unavailable: Rayo Vallecano 0, Valencia 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 51%, top price 1.91). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Rayo Vallecano: no absences. Valencia will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.13 | 3.60 | 3.93 |
| Market average | 2.01 | 3.41 | 3.71 |
| Lowest odds | 1.93 | 3.16 | 3.39 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.36 | 1.33 | 70.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.10 | 2.06 | 46.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.86 | 1.79 | 53.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.75 | 3.57 | 26.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.84 | 50.9% |
| BTTS – no | 1.92 | 1.91 | 49.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 6/11/26, 21:50. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.2%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Valencia, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Rayo Vallecano 12th (12 points), Valencia 19th (9 points).
- Absences: Rayo Vallecano 0, Valencia 0.
Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia: injuries and missing players
Rayo Vallecano
- No reported absences
Valencia
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Alavés | 12 | 3-4-5 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 10 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Rayo Vallecano
Home and away
Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia: last matches of both teams
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia?
Rayo Vallecano +0 (Asian handicap) (1.55); Under 2.5 goals (1.86).
Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia?
Our estimate gives Rayo Vallecano a 47% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Valencia 25%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 22 November 2026 at 16:00, venue Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas, Madrid.
Who will be missing?
Rayo Vallecano: no absences. Valencia: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 47% (odds 2.10) and under 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.86).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 51% (odds 1.91).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.3%), then 1–0 (11.7%) and 2–1 (9.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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