Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 1 November 2026 · 17:30 at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche), Elche take on Valencia, with Luis Bestard Servera in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Elche win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Elche lose.
Elche vs Valencia: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Elche lie 17th, having collected 10 points after 11 matches (2W 4D 5L); Valencia lie 19th, having collected 9 points (2W 3D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Elche average 1.4 goals for and 1.7 against, compared with 0.7 for and 1.7 against for Valencia.
- Form in the competition. Elche: 2W 4D 4L, goals 14–17; Valencia: 1W 3D 6L, goals 7–17.
- Head to head. In 13 previous meetings, Elche have taken 3 wins to Valencia's 8 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 11–21.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.5%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.75), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 54%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 49%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 13; Elche 3 wins, 2 draws, Valencia 8 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.5 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Elche 14–17, Valencia 7–17.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 49%.
- Unavailable: Elche 1, Valencia 6.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Another angle: Under 2.5 goals (probability 51%, top price 1.96). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Elche: M. Aguado. Valencia will be without: S. Canos, J. Copete, H. Elliott, D. Lopez, D. Otorbi, K. van Oevelen. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Elche vs Valencia: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.45 | 3.40 | 3.36 |
| Market average | 2.33 | 3.30 | 3.15 |
| Lowest odds | 2.25 | 3.09 | 2.85 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.30 | 72.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.06 | 1.95 | 49.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.96 | 1.87 | 51.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.28 | 28.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.05 | 45.5% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 1/11/26, 17:06. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.1%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Elche 1–1 Valencia, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Elche 17th (10 points), Valencia 19th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Elche 2W 4D 4L (14:17), Valencia 1W 3D 6L (7:17).
- H2H: 13 matches: Elche 3W 2D 8L, goals 11–21.
- Absences: Elche 1, Valencia 6.
Who will win Elche vs Valencia?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Elche vs Valencia: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Elche vs Valencia: injuries and missing players
Elche
- M. Aguadoankle injury · will miss the match
Valencia
- S. Canosknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Copeteabsence · will miss the match
- H. Elliottred card · will miss the match
- D. Lopezknee injury · will miss the match
- D. Otorbihamstring injury · will miss the match
- K. van Oevelenknee injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Alavés | 12 | 3-4-5 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 10 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 | Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Elche
Home and away
Elche vs Valencia: last matches of both teams
Elche
Valencia
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
ElcheLWDDWValenciaWLDDLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Elche vs Valencia?
Elche +0 (Asian handicap) (1.74); Both teams to score (1.75).
Who will win Elche vs Valencia?
Our estimate gives Elche a 41% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Valencia 30%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 1 November 2026 at 17:30, venue Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche. Referee: Luis Bestard Servera.
Who will be missing?
Elche: M. Aguado. Valencia: S. Canos, J. Copete, H. Elliott, D. Lopez, D. Otorbi, K. van Oevelen. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 2.06) and under 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.96).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 54% (odds 1.75).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.5%), then 1–0 (10.4%) and 0–1 (8.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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