St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem: prediction, odds and betting tip – 8 November 2026, Jupiler Pro League

St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem preview and prediction

St. Truiden host Zulte Waregem on 8 November 2026 at the Daio Wasabi Stayen in Sint‑Truiden. The stadium, with a capacity of 14 600, will see the 15th‑placed home side looking to climb out of the relegation zone against the 10th‑placed visitors who sit three points above them. Both clubs have endured mixed fortunes after ten matches each in the Jupiler Pro League, making this encounter a crucial test of form, resilience and tactical balance.

Form of St. Truiden and Zulte Waregem

St. Truiden have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats this season, scoring 18 goals – an average of 1.8 per game – while conceding 21, or 2.1 per match. Their home record is modest: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 6 goals for and 8 against. Zulte Waregem, by contrast, have a slightly better overall record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses. They have netted 12 goals (1.2 per game) and allowed 16 (1.6 per game). Away from home they have managed 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 4 and conceding 8.

Recent matches of St. Truiden and Zulte Waregem

St. Truiden’s last five fixtures reveal a team capable of both scoring and conceding heavily. The most recent game on 1 November 2026 ended in a 1‑2 loss to OH Leuven at home. Before that, on 25 October 2026 they fell 2‑3 away to Club Brugge KV, a match that exposed defensive frailties. A brighter moment arrived on 22 October 2026 when they secured a 1‑0 away win over FC Midtjylland, showing they can keep a clean sheet against a disciplined side. On 15 October 2026 they beat FC Iberia 1999 2‑0 at home, before a dramatic 4‑3 defeat to KV Mechelen on 11 October 2026, where they both scored and conceded three goals.

Zulte Waregem’s recent form has been less encouraging. Their last five games all ended in defeat. The most recent, on 30 October 2026, was a 2‑4 home loss to Club Brugge KV, where they allowed four goals while only managing two. Earlier, on 24 October 2026 they were beaten 0‑3 away by RAAL La Louvière, followed by a 0‑2 loss at Gent on 10 October 2026. A 0‑3 defeat at Anderlecht on 19 September 2026 and a 0‑1 loss to Charleroi on 13 September 2026 complete the sequence, indicating a run of five games without scoring.

St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem: head‑to‑head

The two clubs have met 25 times in recent history, producing a fairly even distribution of results: St. Truiden have won 10, drawn 4 and lost 11. The meetings have generated 29 goals for St. Truiden and 40 for Zulte Waregem, reflecting a slight edge for the visitors in scoring. A chronological look at the last six encounters provides further insight:

• 15 February 2026 – St. Truiden 3‑2 Zulte Waregem (home win)
• 23 August 2025 – Zulte Waregem 0‑2 St. Truiden (away win for St. Truiden)
• 11 January 2023 – Zulte Waregem 2‑0 St. Truiden (away win for Zulte Waregem)
• 27 December 2022 – St. Truiden 2‑0 Zulte Waregem (home win)
• 17 September 2022 – Zulte Waregem 0‑3 St. Truiden (away win)
• 2 April 2022 – Zulte Waregem 0‑2 St. Truiden (away win)

These results show that while Zulte Waregem have a marginally better overall head‑to‑head record, St. Truiden have enjoyed recent success in the fixture, winning three of the last six meetings, including two clean‑sheet victories.

Odds, handicap lines and our tips

Bookmakers assess a 53 % probability of a St. Truiden victory (best odds 1.80), a 24 % chance of a draw (best odds 4.11) and a 23 % likelihood of a Zulte Waregem win (best odds 4.21). The Asian handicap market offers a range of lines that illustrate the perceived closeness of the contest:

• St. Truiden –1.25 (36 % chance, odds 2.66) vs Zulte Waregem +1.25 (64 % chance, odds 1.50)
• St. Truiden –1 (41 % chance, odds 2.37) vs Zulte Waregem +1 (59 % chance, odds 1.62)
• St. Truiden –0.75 (49 % chance, odds 2.00) vs Zulte Waregem +0.75 (51 % chance, odds 1.87)
• St. Truiden –0.5 (55 % chance, odds 1.78) vs Zulte Waregem +0.5 (45 % chance, odds 2.16)
• St. Truiden –0.25 (61 % chance, odds 1.57) vs Zulte Waregem +0.25 (39 % chance, odds 2.45)
• St. Truiden 0 (70 % chance, odds 1.36) vs Zulte Waregem 0 (30 % chance, odds 3.17)
• St. Truiden –1.5 (32 % chance, odds 3.13) vs Zulte Waregem +1.5 (68 % chance, odds 1.42)

Our main tip is **Under 3.5 goals** at odds 1.60, reflecting a 61 % implied probability. The second tip is a **St. Truiden win** at odds 1.80, matching the 53 % chance derived from the bookmakers.

Other bets worth a look

• Safer option: St. Truiden or draw (1X) at odds 1.25, with a 77 % implied chance.
• Value alternative: Both teams to score – Yes at odds 1.57, 60 % chance.
• Goals markets: Over 1.5 goals – 80 % chance (odds 1.19); Under 1.5 – 20 % chance (odds 5.00). Over 2.5 – 60 % chance (odds 1.60); Under 2.5 – 40 % chance (odds 2.42). Over 3.5 – 39 % chance (odds 2.45); Under 3.5 – 61 % chance (odds 1.60).
• Both teams to score: Yes 60 % (odds 1.57); No 40 % (odds 2.37).
• Most likely exact scores: 1‑1 (10.3 %), 2‑1 (9.8 %), 1‑0 (8.6 %).

Match outlook and likely scenarios

Considering the average goals per match – 1.8 scored and 2.1 conceded by St. Truiden, 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded by Zulte Waregem – the expected total of about three goals aligns with the under 3.5 market. St. Truiden’s recent home win against FC Midtjylland and their ability to keep a clean sheet suggest they could limit the visitors’ scoring opportunities. Zulte Waregem’s five‑game goalless streak, however, raises doubts about their attacking threat, especially away from home where they have already let in eight goals in four matches.

The head‑to‑head trend of relatively low‑scoring encounters – three of the last six meetings ended with both sides scoring no more than two goals – further supports the under‑3.5 recommendation. Moreover, the Asian handicap line of St. Truiden –0.25 (61 % chance) indicates that the market expects a narrow victory or at most a draw with a marginal advantage for the home side.

Given the bookmaker margin of 8.2 % on the match‑result market, the value of the under 3.5 bet becomes more attractive, especially when paired with a modest stake on a St. Truiden win. The combination of home advantage, recent defensive solidity, and a historical edge in the direct fixture suggests a tight contest likely to stay under the goal threshold.

Conclusion

The clash at the Daio Wasabi Stayen promises a competitive showdown between two teams fighting for points in the lower half of the table. St. Truiden’s modest home record, recent clean‑sheet win, and a head‑to‑head advantage over Zulte Waregem point toward a narrow victory or a draw, while the visitors’ recent inability to find the net away from home limits their upside. Betting on **under 3.5 goals** offers the best risk‑adjusted value, complemented by a **St. Truiden win** as a secondary, higher‑return option. For those seeking a safer route, the **St. Truiden or draw (1X)** at odds 1.25 remains a solid choice, and the **both‑teams‑to‑score – Yes** market provides an attractive value play given the 60 % implied probability.