Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lyon welcome Nice on 18 October 2026 · 19:45 at Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon), and the referee is François Letexier, France. Lyon (52%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Lyon vs Nice: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Lyon lie 3rd, having collected 17 points after 9 matches (5W 2D 2L); Nice lie 8th, having collected 14 points (4W 2D 3L).
What to expect
In our view Lyon hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 58%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 57%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57%.
- Unavailable: Lyon 0, Nice 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 58%, top price 1.65). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Lyon: no absences. Nice will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Lyon vs Nice: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.86 | 4.00 | 4.44 |
| Market average | 1.83 | 3.89 | 4.20 |
| Lowest odds | 1.80 | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.19 | 78.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.69 | 56.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.26 | 2.20 | 43.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.70 | 2.63 | 35.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.65 | 1.62 | 57.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.20 | 42.3% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 18/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Lyon 1–1 Nice, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lyon 3rd (17 points), Nice 8th (14 points).
- Absences: Lyon 0, Nice 0.
Who will win Lyon vs Nice?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Lyon vs Nice: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Lyon vs Nice: injuries and missing players
Lyon
- No reported absences
Nice
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 10 | 3-4-3 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 12 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 10 | 3-1-6 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Lyon
Home and away
Lyon vs Nice: last matches of both teams
Lyon
Nice
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Lyon vs Nice?
Over 2.5 goals (1.75); Lyon to win (1.86).
Who will win Lyon vs Nice?
Our estimate gives Lyon a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nice 23%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 18 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon. Referee: François Letexier, France.
Who will be missing?
Lyon: no absences. Nice: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.75) and under 2.5 goals at 43% (odds 2.26).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 58% (odds 1.65).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.8%), then 2–1 (9.8%) and 1–0 (9.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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