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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 8 · 23 October 2026 · 19:45

Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: prediction, odds and betting tip – 23 October 2026, Ligue 1

1–2
WWLWW
1Stade Brestois 292.41
XDraw3.70
2Nice3.37

Top price available · Updated 23/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Stade Brestois 29 welcome Nice on 23 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stade Francis-Le-Blé (Brest), and the referee is G. Paradis. We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.

Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Nice +0.25 (Asian handicap)
1.98
Chance 52% · confidence medium

Wins: Nice win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Nice lose.

Second tip · Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.50
Chance 65% · confidence medium
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
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Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Stade Brestois 29 lie 11th, having collected 12 points after 9 matches (3W 3D 3L); Nice lie 8th, having collected 14 points (4W 2D 3L).
  2. Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Stade Brestois 29 average 1.9 goals for and 1.4 against, compared with 0.9 for and 1.3 against for Nice.
  3. Form in the competition. Stade Brestois 29: 2W 3D 2L, goals 13–10; Nice: 2W 2D 3L, goals 6–9.
  4. Head to head. In 22 previous meetings, Stade Brestois 29 have taken 4 wins to Nice's 10 wins, plus 8 draws; the goal tally stands at 21–34.

What to expect

In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.5%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), which we give a 65% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 60%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 56%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 22; Stade Brestois 29 4 wins, 8 draws, Nice 10 wins.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 2.5 goals a game on average.
  3. Scored and conceded in this competition: Stade Brestois 29 13–10, Nice 6–9.
  4. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 56%.
  5. Unavailable: Stade Brestois 29 3, Nice 4.

Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes

Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 60%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Stade Brestois 29: B. Chardonnet, R. Le Guen, G. Versini. Nice will be without: A. Abdi, L. Abergel, M. Bombito, A. Mendy. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available2.413.703.37
Market average2.313.483.06
Lowest odds2.223.252.90
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.241.2078.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.761.7155.7%
Under 2.5 goals2.232.1544.3%
Over 3.5 goals2.782.6735.4%
BTTS – yes1.571.5460.2%
BTTS – no2.402.3439.8%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 23/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.9%.

All bookmakers →

The key facts

  • Likely result: Stade Brestois 29 1–1 Nice, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Stade Brestois 29 11th (12 points), Nice 8th (14 points).
  • Form in the competition: Stade Brestois 29 2W 3D 2L (13:10), Nice 2W 2D 3L (6:9).
  • H2H: 22 matches: Stade Brestois 29 4W 8D 10L, goals 21–34.
  • Absences: Stade Brestois 29 3, Nice 4.

Who will win Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice?

Stade Brestois 2941%
Draw27%
Nice31%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals78.3% · fair odds 1.28 · best 1.24
Likely
Stade Brestois 29 or draw (1X)68.8% · fair odds 1.45 · best 1.40
Likely
Under 3.5 goals64.6% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.50
Likely
Both teams to score: yes60.2% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 2.5 goals55.7% · fair odds 1.80 · best 1.76
Possible
Under 2.5 goals44.3% · fair odds 2.26 · best 2.23
Outsider
Stade Brestois 29 to win41.3% · fair odds 2.42 · best 2.41
Outsider
Both teams to score: no39.8% · fair odds 2.51 · best 2.40
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals35.4% · fair odds 2.83 · best 2.78
Outsider
Nice to win31.2% · fair odds 3.20 · best 3.37
Outsider
Draw27.5% · fair odds 3.64 · best 3.70
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.84 · Under 1.91
probability of over 51.0%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.86 · Under 1.88
probability of over 50.3%

Correct score tips

1 : 111.5%
2 : 18.9%
1 : 08.5%
1 : 27.8%
0 : 17.4%
2 : 06.6%

Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: injuries and missing players

Stade Brestois 29

  • B. Chardonnetcalf injury · will miss the match
  • R. Le Guenbroken leg · will miss the match
  • G. Versiniabsence · doubtful

Nice

  • A. Abdimuscle injury · will miss the match
  • L. Abergelknee injury · will miss the match
  • M. Bombitoabsence · will miss the match
  • A. Mendyknee injury · will miss the match

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain96-2-121:1020
2Lille95-3-112:618
3Lyon95-2-215:717
4Paris FC95-2-216:1017
5Rennes95-1-320:1916
6Marseille95-0-420:1315
7Monaco94-3-212:1015
8Nice94-2-313:1214
9Lens94-1-416:1313
10Toulouse103-4-315:1413
11Stade Brestois 2993-3-316:1212
12Lorient93-3-37:812
13Strasbourg103-1-618:2210
14Auxerre93-1-513:2310
15Angers92-2-59:178
16Estac Troyes92-2-57:168
17Le Mans91-4-411:187
18Le Havre90-2-79:202

Recent matches

Stade Brestois 29

2 NovWLorient 0–2 Stade Brestois 29
23 OctLStade Brestois 29 1–2 Nice
17 OctDLille 1–1 Stade Brestois 29
10 OctWStade Brestois 29 5–1 Angers
20 SeptLAuxerre 2–1 Stade Brestois 29

Nice

30 OctWNice 5–2 Rennes
23 OctWStade Brestois 29 1–2 Nice
18 OctLLyon 2–1 Nice
11 OctWNice 2–1 Strasbourg
20 SeptWNice 2–1 Lille

Home and away

Stade Brestois 29 at home4 matches: 1W 1D 2L, goals 8–6
Nice away4 matches: 1W 0D 3L, goals 3–7

Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: last matches of both teams

Stade Brestois 29

W 2/11/26 · Lorient 0–2 Stade Brestois 29
D 17/10/26 · Lille 1–1 Stade Brestois 29
W 10/10/26 · Stade Brestois 29 5–1 Angers
L 20/9/26 · Auxerre 2–1 Stade Brestois 29

Nice

W 30/10/26 · Nice 5–2 Rennes
L 18/10/26 · Lyon 2–1 Nice
W 11/10/26 · Nice 2–1 Strasbourg
W 20/9/26 · Nice 2–1 Lille

Team comparison

Stade Brestois 29Nice
50%Form50%
60%Attack40%
50%Defence50%
38%Head to head62%
38%Goals63%
54.3%Overall45.8%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Form in the competition

Stade Brestois 29WLDWL
NiceWWLWW

Head to head

All matches
4Stade Brestois 29
8Draws
10Nice
23/10/26 · Stade Brestois 29 1–2 Nice
1/2/26 · Nice 2–2 Stade Brestois 29
20/9/25 · Stade Brestois 29 4–1 Nice
17/5/25 · Nice 6–0 Stade Brestois 29
2/11/24 · Stade Brestois 29 0–1 Nice
4/2/24 · Stade Brestois 29 0–0 Nice

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.9%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice?

Nice +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.98); Under 3.5 goals (1.50).

Who will win Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice?

Our estimate gives Stade Brestois 29 a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Nice 31%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 23 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Stade Francis-Le-Blé, Brest. Referee: G. Paradis.

Who will be missing?

Stade Brestois 29: B. Chardonnet, R. Le Guen, G. Versini. Nice: A. Abdi, L. Abergel, M. Bombito, A. Mendy. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 56% (odds 1.76) and under 2.5 goals at 44% (odds 2.23).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 60% (odds 1.57).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (11.5%), then 2–1 (8.9%) and 1–0 (8.5%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

Auxerre vs Paris FC 7 NovParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes 7 NovRennes vs Lille 8 NovAngers vs Nice 8 NovStade Brestois 29 vs Lyon 8 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.