Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Broadhall Way (Stevenage), Stevenage take on Milton Keynes Dons. We make Stevenage (47%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Stevenage lie 16th, having collected 16 points after 12 matches (4W 4D 4L); Milton Keynes Dons lie 12th, having collected 18 points (4W 6D 3L).
- Head to head. In 17 previous meetings, Stevenage have taken 6 wins to Milton Keynes Dons's 7 wins, plus 4 draws; the goal tally stands at 23–28.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.5%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.80), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 51%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 46%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 17; Stevenage 6 wins, 4 draws, Milton Keynes Dons 7 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.0 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 46%.
- Unavailable: Stevenage 0, Milton Keynes Dons 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 51%, top price 1.95). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Stevenage: no absences. Milton Keynes Dons will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.06 | 3.40 | 4.09 |
| Market average | 1.98 | 3.34 | 3.80 |
| Lowest odds | 1.95 | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.35 | 1.33 | 69.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.13 | 2.05 | 46.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.74 | 54.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.80 | 3.53 | 26.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.84 | 50.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 1.88 | 49.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 12:03. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Stevenage 1–1 Milton Keynes Dons, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Stevenage 16th (16 points), Milton Keynes Dons 12th (18 points).
- H2H: 17 matches: Stevenage 6W 4D 7L, goals 23–28.
- Absences: Stevenage 0, Milton Keynes Dons 0.
Who will win Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: injuries and missing players
Stevenage
- No reported absences
Milton Keynes Dons
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 14 | 8-5-1 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | 8-2-4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 13 | 7-5-1 | 22:11 | 26 |
| 4 |  Luton | 14 | 7-3-4 | 27:21 | 24 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 14 | 7-2-5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 14 | 6-4-4 | 25:15 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | 6-4-3 | 10:8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 5-6-3 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | 5-5-3 | 22:14 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester | 13 | 5-4-4 | 22:19 | 19 |
| 11 |  Mansfield Town | 13 | 5-4-4 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 12 | Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4-6-3 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | 4-6-3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | 5-2-6 | 19:14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage | 12 | 4-4-4 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | 3-5-4 | 13:14 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3-4-6 | 9:21 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | 3-3-6 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 14 | 3-2-9 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | 2-4-7 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | 2-3-7 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | 2-3-8 | 13:33 | 9 |
Recent matches
Stevenage
Home and away
Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: last matches of both teams
Stevenage
Milton Keynes Dons
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Both teams to score (1.95); Stevenage to win (2.06).
Who will win Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Our estimate gives Stevenage a 47% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Milton Keynes Dons 25%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 15:00, venue Broadhall Way, Stevenage.
Who will be missing?
Stevenage: no absences. Milton Keynes Dons: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.13) and under 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.80).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 51% (odds 1.95).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.5%), then 1–0 (12.5%) and 2–1 (9.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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