Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at Broadhall Way (Stevenage), Stevenage take on Plymouth. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Stevenage vs Plymouth: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Stevenage lie 16th, having collected 16 points after 12 matches (4W 4D 4L); Plymouth lie 5th, having collected 23 points (7W 2D 5L).
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.4%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.70), which we give a 56% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 56%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 51%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
- Unavailable: Stevenage 0, Plymouth 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 51%, top price 1.92). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Stevenage: no absences. Plymouth will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Stevenage vs Plymouth: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.78 | 3.50 | 2.55 |
| Market average | 2.70 | 3.35 | 2.48 |
| Lowest odds | 2.54 | 3.07 | 2.43 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.26 | 73.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.92 | 1.86 | 50.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.98 | 1.91 | 49.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.25 | 3.05 | 30.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.66 | 55.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.11 | 44.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.3%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Stevenage 1–1 Plymouth, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Stevenage 16th (16 points), Plymouth 5th (23 points).
- Absences: Stevenage 0, Plymouth 0.
Who will win Stevenage vs Plymouth?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Stevenage vs Plymouth: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
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Correct score tips
Stevenage vs Plymouth: injuries and missing players
Stevenage
- No reported absences
Plymouth
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 14 | 8-5-1 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | 8-2-4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 13 | 7-5-1 | 22:11 | 26 |
| 4 |  Luton | 14 | 7-3-4 | 27:21 | 24 |
| 5 | Plymouth | 14 | 7-2-5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 14 | 6-4-4 | 25:15 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | 6-4-3 | 10:8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 5-6-3 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | 5-5-3 | 22:14 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester | 13 | 5-4-4 | 22:19 | 19 |
| 11 |  Mansfield Town | 13 | 5-4-4 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 12 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4-6-3 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | 4-6-3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | 5-2-6 | 19:14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage | 12 | 4-4-4 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | 3-5-4 | 13:14 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3-4-6 | 9:21 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | 3-3-6 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 14 | 3-2-9 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | 2-4-7 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | 2-3-7 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | 2-3-8 | 13:33 | 9 |
Recent matches
Stevenage
Home and away
Stevenage vs Plymouth: last matches of both teams
Stevenage
Plymouth
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Stevenage vs Plymouth?
Stevenage or draw (1X) (1.57); Both teams to score (1.70).
Who will win Stevenage vs Plymouth?
Our estimate gives Stevenage a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Plymouth 38%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 20 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Broadhall Way, Stevenage.
Who will be missing?
Stevenage: no absences. Plymouth: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.92) and under 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 1.98).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 56% (odds 1.70).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.4%), then 0–1 (9.5%) and 1–0 (9.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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