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Bundesliga · Matchweek 6 · 17 October 2026 · 14:30

SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg: prediction, odds and betting tip – 17 October 2026, Bundesliga

1SV Elversberg2.52
XDraw3.90
2FC Augsburg2.77

Top price available · Updated 17/10/26, 12:01

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Played: final score 4–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

On 17 October 2026 · 14:30 at Waldstadion Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg), SV Elversberg take on FC Augsburg, with F. Exner in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.

SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg: tip and prediction
Main tip · Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.81
Chance 55% · confidence medium
Second tip · Result (even match)
SV Elversberg or draw (1X)
1.50
Chance 64% · confidence medium
1–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
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SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. SV Elversberg lie 7th, having collected 13 points after 8 matches (4W 1D 3L); FC Augsburg lie 11th, having collected 9 points (2W 3D 3L).

What to expect

In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–2 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.0%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), which we give a 65% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 67%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 65%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 65%.
  2. Unavailable: SV Elversberg 0, FC Augsburg 0.

Alternative tip: SV Elversberg or draw (1X)

Another angle: SV Elversberg or draw (1X) (probability 64%, top price 1.50). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for SV Elversberg: no absences. FC Augsburg will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available2.523.902.77
Market average2.463.772.67
Lowest odds2.403.502.55
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.141.1084.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.501.4464.8%
Under 2.5 goals2.732.6535.2%
Over 3.5 goals2.172.1145.2%
BTTS – yes1.441.3966.9%
BTTS – no2.892.8133.1%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 17/10/26, 12:01. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.8%.

All bookmakers →

The key facts

  • Likely result: SV Elversberg 1–1 FC Augsburg, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: SV Elversberg 7th (13 points), FC Augsburg 11th (9 points).
  • Absences: SV Elversberg 0, FC Augsburg 0.

Who will win SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg?

SV Elversberg39%
Draw25%
FC Augsburg36%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals84.1% · fair odds 1.19 · best 1.14
Likely
Both teams to score: yes66.9% · fair odds 1.50 · best 1.44
Likely
Over 2.5 goals64.8% · fair odds 1.54 · best 1.50
Likely
SV Elversberg or draw (1X)64.2% · fair odds 1.56 · best 1.50
Likely
Under 3.5 goals54.8% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.81
Possible
Over 3.5 goals45.2% · fair odds 2.21 · best 2.17
Outsider
SV Elversberg to win38.8% · fair odds 2.58 · best 2.52
Outsider
FC Augsburg to win35.8% · fair odds 2.79 · best 2.77
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals35.2% · fair odds 2.84 · best 2.73
Outsider
Both teams to score: no33.1% · fair odds 3.02 · best 2.89
Outsider
Draw25.3% · fair odds 3.95 · best 3.90
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.02 · Under 1.71
probability of over 45.8%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 1.95 · Under 1.78
probability of over 47.8%

Correct score tips

1 : 110.0%
2 : 18.5%
1 : 28.0%
2 : 26.8%
1 : 06.3%
0 : 15.9%

SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg: injuries and missing players

SV Elversberg

  • No reported absences

FC Augsburg

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Bayern München85-3-027:818
2Borussia Dortmund85-3-014:618
3SC Freiburg85-1-218:1016
4RB Leipzig85-0-322:1115
5Werder Bremen84-3-117:1415
6Bayer Leverkusen84-1-318:1613
7SV Elversberg84-1-316:1613
8Hamburger SV94-0-510:2012
9Eintracht Frankfurt83-2-313:1811
10FSV Mainz 0583-1-417:1710
11FC Augsburg82-3-318:159
12VfB Stuttgart83-0-514:159
131899 Hoffenheim83-0-514:169
141. FC Köln82-3-39:129
15SC Paderborn 0782-3-36:99
16Union Berlin81-4-37:197
17FC Schalke 0481-3-44:96
18Borussia Mönchengladbach91-1-712:254

Recent matches

SV Elversberg

30 OctWSV Elversberg 4–1 FSV Mainz 05
24 OctLRB Leipzig 4–0 SV Elversberg
17 OctWSV Elversberg 4–3 FC Augsburg
10 OctLUnion Berlin 1–0 SV Elversberg
20 SeptDFC Schalke 04 0–0 SV Elversberg

FC Augsburg

31 OctLFC Augsburg 1–2 SC Freiburg
24 OctDFC Augsburg 1–1 Union Berlin
17 OctLSV Elversberg 4–3 FC Augsburg
10 OctDFC Augsburg 2–2 Bayern München
19 SeptLWerder Bremen 3–2 FC Augsburg

Home and away

SV Elversberg at home4 matches: 3W 0D 1L, goals 12–8
FC Augsburg away3 matches: 1W 0D 2L, goals 9–8

SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg: last matches of both teams

SV Elversberg

W 30/10/26 · SV Elversberg 4–1 FSV Mainz 05
L 24/10/26 · RB Leipzig 4–0 SV Elversberg
L 10/10/26 · Union Berlin 1–0 SV Elversberg
D 20/9/26 · FC Schalke 04 0–0 SV Elversberg

FC Augsburg

L 31/10/26 · FC Augsburg 1–2 SC Freiburg
D 24/10/26 · FC Augsburg 1–1 Union Berlin
D 10/10/26 · FC Augsburg 2–2 Bayern München
L 19/9/26 · Werder Bremen 3–2 FC Augsburg

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.8%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg?

Under 3.5 goals (1.81); SV Elversberg or draw (1X) (1.50).

Who will win SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg?

Our estimate gives SV Elversberg a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC Augsburg 36%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 17 October 2026 at 14:30, venue Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg. Referee: F. Exner.

Who will be missing?

SV Elversberg: no absences. FC Augsburg: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 65% (odds 1.50) and under 2.5 goals at 35% (odds 2.73).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 67% (odds 1.44).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (10.0%), then 2–1 (8.5%) and 1–2 (8.0%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München 7 NovBorussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg 7 NovRB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg 7 NovSC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt 7 NovVfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen 7 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.