Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg, 31 October 2026 · 14:30 at WWK Arena (Augsburg), with C. Dingert officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: FC Augsburg win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: FC Augsburg lose.
FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. FC Augsburg lie 11th, having collected 9 points after 8 matches (2W 3D 3L); SC Freiburg lie 3rd, having collected 16 points (5W 1D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, FC Augsburg average 2.4 goals for and 1.9 against, compared with 2.3 for and 1.3 against for SC Freiburg.
- Form in the competition. FC Augsburg: 2W 3D 2L, goals 17–13; SC Freiburg: 4W 1D 2L, goals 16–9.
- Head to head. In 30 previous meetings, FC Augsburg have taken 7 wins to SC Freiburg's 14 wins, plus 9 draws; the goal tally stands at 38–53.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–2 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.50), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 63%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 61%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 30; FC Augsburg 7 wins, 9 draws, SC Freiburg 14 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.0 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: FC Augsburg 17–13, SC Freiburg 16–9.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61%.
- Unavailable: FC Augsburg 4, SC Freiburg 2.
Alternative tip: Draw or SC Freiburg (X2)
Another angle: Draw or SC Freiburg (X2) (probability 66%, top price 1.50). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for FC Augsburg: J. Bah, N. Banks, C. Brackelmann, S. Mounie. SC Freiburg will be without: P. Treu, B. Yilmaz. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.90 | 3.96 | 2.45 |
| Market average | 2.77 | 3.69 | 2.37 |
| Lowest odds | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.12 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.15 | 81.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.55 | 60.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.45 | 2.39 | 39.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.37 | 40.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.47 | 63.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.54 | 36.7% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 14:09. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.6%.
The key facts
- Likely result: FC Augsburg 1–1 SC Freiburg, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: FC Augsburg 11th (9 points), SC Freiburg 3rd (16 points).
- Form in the competition: FC Augsburg 2W 3D 2L (17:13), SC Freiburg 4W 1D 2L (16:9).
- H2H: 30 matches: FC Augsburg 7W 9D 14L, goals 38–53.
- Absences: FC Augsburg 4, SC Freiburg 2.
Who will win FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg: injuries and missing players
FC Augsburg
- J. Bahred card · will miss the match
- N. Banksknee injury · will miss the match
- C. Brackelmannconcussion · will miss the match
- S. Mounieinjury · will miss the match
SC Freiburg
- P. Treuankle injury · doubtful
- B. Yilmazabsence · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Hamburger SV | 9 | 4-0-5 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 9 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 11 | FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 13 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 15 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 1-1-7 | 12:25 | 4 |
Recent matches
FC Augsburg
Home and away
FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg: last matches of both teams
FC Augsburg
SC Freiburg
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
FC AugsburgLDLDLSC FreiburgWLLWDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg?
FC Augsburg +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.97); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg?
Our estimate gives FC Augsburg a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and SC Freiburg 40%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 14:30, venue WWK Arena, Augsburg. Referee: C. Dingert.
Who will be missing?
FC Augsburg: J. Bah, N. Banks, C. Brackelmann, S. Mounie. SC Freiburg: P. Treu, B. Yilmaz. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.60) and under 2.5 goals at 39% (odds 2.45).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 63% (odds 1.50).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.6%), then 1–2 (8.7%) and 2–1 (8.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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