Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Udinese welcome AC Milan on 25 October 2026 · 19:45 at Bluenergy Stadium (Udine), and the referee is Matteo Marcenaro. AC Milan (53%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Udinese vs AC Milan: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Udinese lie 20th, having collected 5 points after 11 matches (1W 2D 8L); AC Milan lie 5th, having collected 21 points (6W 3D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Udinese average 1.3 goals for and 2.3 against, compared with 2.0 for and 1.0 against for AC Milan.
- Form in the competition. Udinese: 1W 1D 5L, goals 9–16; AC Milan: 4W 3D 0L, goals 14–7.
- Head to head. In 33 previous meetings, Udinese have taken 9 wins to AC Milan's 15 wins, plus 9 draws; the goal tally stands at 39–50.
What to expect
In our view AC Milan hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.4%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.80), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 54%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 51%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 33; Udinese 9 wins, 9 draws, AC Milan 15 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.7 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Udinese 9–16, AC Milan 14–7.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
- Unavailable: Udinese 5, AC Milan 6.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 51%, top price 1.93). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Udinese: D. Alaba, V. Bayo, I. Gueye, A. Zanoli, O. Solet. AC Milan will be without: S. Chukwueze, M. Gabbia, M. Gila, D. Moreira, A. Rabiot, A. Saelemaekers. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Udinese vs AC Milan: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 4.95 | 3.84 | 1.86 |
| Market average | 4.55 | 3.65 | 1.80 |
| Lowest odds | 4.28 | 3.40 | 1.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.27 | 74.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.87 | 51.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.06 | 1.96 | 48.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.30 | 3.09 | 30.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.74 | 53.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.01 | 46.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 25/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.1%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Udinese 1–1 AC Milan, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Udinese 20th (5 points), AC Milan 5th (21 points).
- Form in the competition: Udinese 1W 1D 5L (9:16), AC Milan 4W 3D 0L (14:7).
- H2H: 33 matches: Udinese 9W 9D 15L, goals 39–50.
- Absences: Udinese 5, AC Milan 6.
Who will win Udinese vs AC Milan?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Udinese vs AC Milan: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Udinese vs AC Milan: injuries and missing players
Udinese
- D. Alabacalf injury · will miss the match
- V. Bayothigh injury · will miss the match
- I. Gueyeankle injury · will miss the match
- A. Zanolimuscle injury · will miss the match
- O. Soletmuscle injury · doubtful
AC Milan
- S. Chukwuezehip injury · will miss the match
- M. Gabbiathigh injury · will miss the match
- M. Gilaankle injury · will miss the match
- D. Moreirathigh injury · will miss the match
- A. Rabiotcalf injury · will miss the match
- A. Saelemaekersankle injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | 2-0-9 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese | 11 | 1-2-8 | 12:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Udinese
Home and away
Udinese vs AC Milan: last matches of both teams
Udinese
AC Milan
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
UdineseLLDLLAC MilanWLWWDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Udinese vs AC Milan?
Over 2.5 goals (1.93); AC Milan to win (1.86).
Who will win Udinese vs AC Milan?
Our estimate gives Udinese a 21% chance of winning, the draw 26% and AC Milan 53%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 25 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Bluenergy Stadium, Udine. Referee: Matteo Marcenaro.
Who will be missing?
Udinese: D. Alaba, V. Bayo, I. Gueye, A. Zanoli, O. Solet. AC Milan: S. Chukwueze, M. Gabbia, M. Gila, D. Moreira, A. Rabiot, A. Saelemaekers. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.93) and under 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 2.06).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 54% (odds 1.80).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.4%), then 0–1 (11.4%) and 1–2 (9.7%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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