Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Parma welcome Udinese on 28 October 2026 · 17:30 at Ennio Tardini (Parma), and the referee is Davide Massa. We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Parma win, a draw. Loses: Parma lose.
Parma vs Udinese: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Parma lie 15th, having collected 8 points after 10 matches (2W 2D 6L); Udinese lie 20th, having collected 5 points (1W 2D 8L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Parma average 0.6 goals for and 1.9 against, compared with 1.1 for and 2.3 against for Udinese.
- Form in the competition. Parma: 1W 1D 6L, goals 5–15; Udinese: 1W 1D 6L, goals 9–18.
- Head to head. In 21 previous meetings, Parma have taken 9 wins to Udinese's 8 wins, plus 4 draws; the goal tally stands at 30–31.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.8%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.80), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 53%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 46%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 21; Parma 9 wins, 4 draws, Udinese 8 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.9 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Parma 5–15, Udinese 9–18.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 46%.
- Unavailable: Parma 2, Udinese 5.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 53%, top price 1.80). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Parma: N. Elphege, L. Valenti. Udinese will be without: D. Alaba, V. Bayo, I. Gueye, O. Solet, A. Zanoli. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Parma vs Udinese: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.87 | 3.27 | 2.83 |
| Market average | 2.75 | 3.11 | 2.72 |
| Lowest odds | 2.70 | 2.99 | 2.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.37 | 1.33 | 70.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.19 | 2.08 | 45.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.77 | 54.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.80 | 3.65 | 25.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.76 | 53.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.98 | 47.0% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 28/10/26, 16:28. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Parma 1–1 Udinese, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Parma 15th (8 points), Udinese 20th (5 points).
- Form in the competition: Parma 1W 1D 6L (5:15), Udinese 1W 1D 6L (9:18).
- H2H: 21 matches: Parma 9W 4D 8L, goals 30–31.
- Absences: Parma 2, Udinese 5.
Who will win Parma vs Udinese?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Parma vs Udinese: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Parma vs Udinese: injuries and missing players
Parma
- N. Elphegeillness · will miss the match
- L. Valentiabsence · will miss the match
Udinese
- D. Alabacalf injury · will miss the match
- V. Bayothigh injury · will miss the match
- I. Gueyeankle injury · will miss the match
- O. Soletmuscle injury · will miss the match
- A. Zanolimuscle injury · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 | Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | 2-0-9 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese | 11 | 1-2-8 | 12:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Parma
Home and away
Parma vs Udinese: last matches of both teams
Parma
Udinese
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
ParmaWDLLLUdineseLLDLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Parma vs Udinese?
Parma +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.54); Under 2.5 goals (1.80).
Who will win Parma vs Udinese?
Our estimate gives Parma a 35% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Udinese 35%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 28 October 2026 at 17:30, venue Ennio Tardini, Parma. Referee: Davide Massa.
Who will be missing?
Parma: N. Elphege, L. Valenti. Udinese: D. Alaba, V. Bayo, I. Gueye, O. Solet, A. Zanoli. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.19) and under 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.80).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 53% (odds 1.80).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.8%), then 0–1 (10.3%) and 1–0 (10.3%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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