Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07, 17 October 2026 · 14:30 at Weserstadion (Bremen), with R. Schröder officiating. The odds point to Werder Bremen (55%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: SC Paderborn 07 win, a draw. Half lost (half the stake back): SC Paderborn 07 lose by 1. Loses: SC Paderborn 07 lose by 2 or more.
Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Werder Bremen lie 5th, having collected 15 points after 8 matches (4W 3D 1L); SC Paderborn 07 lie 15th, having collected 9 points (2W 3D 3L).
What to expect
In our view Werder Bremen hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (9.7%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 62%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 63%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 63%.
- Unavailable: Werder Bremen 0, SC Paderborn 07 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 62%, top price 1.55). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Werder Bremen: no absences. SC Paderborn 07 will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.80 | 4.36 | 4.42 |
| Market average | 1.75 | 4.21 | 4.24 |
| Lowest odds | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.12 | 82.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.52 | 1.49 | 63.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.69 | 2.53 | 37.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.34 | 2.24 | 42.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.50 | 62.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.45 | 38.0% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 17/10/26, 12:01. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.5%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Werder Bremen 2–1 SC Paderborn 07, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Werder Bremen 5th (15 points), SC Paderborn 07 15th (9 points).
- Absences: Werder Bremen 0, SC Paderborn 07 0.
Who will win Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07: injuries and missing players
Werder Bremen
- No reported absences
SC Paderborn 07
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Hamburger SV | 9 | 4-0-5 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 9 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 11 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 13 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 15 | SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 1-1-7 | 12:25 | 4 |
Recent matches
Werder Bremen
Home and away
Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07: last matches of both teams
Werder Bremen
SC Paderborn 07
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?
SC Paderborn 07 +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.96); Over 2.5 goals (1.52).
Who will win Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?
Our estimate gives Werder Bremen a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and SC Paderborn 07 23%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 17 October 2026 at 14:30, venue Weserstadion, Bremen. Referee: R. Schröder.
Who will be missing?
Werder Bremen: no absences. SC Paderborn 07: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 63% (odds 1.52) and under 2.5 goals at 37% (odds 2.69).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 62% (odds 1.55).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (9.7%), then 1–1 (9.7%) and 2–0 (7.8%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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