Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Barnet welcome Swindon Town on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at The Hive Stadium (London), and the referee is B. Atkinson. Barnet (64%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Barnet win by 2 or more. Stake back: Barnet win by 1. Loses: a draw, Barnet lose.
Barnet vs Swindon Town: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Barnet lie 2nd, having collected 26 points after 13 matches (7W 5D 1L); Swindon Town lie 13th, having collected 19 points (5W 4D 5L).
What to expect
In our view Barnet hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (9.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 58%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 63%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 63%.
- Unavailable: Barnet 0, Swindon Town 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 58%, top price 1.62). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Barnet: no absences. Swindon Town will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Barnet vs Swindon Town: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.50 | 4.92 | 6.50 |
| Market average | 1.46 | 4.55 | 5.85 |
| Lowest odds | 1.44 | 4.19 | 5.13 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.13 | 82.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.52 | 1.47 | 63.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.67 | 2.51 | 36.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.25 | 2.20 | 42.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.59 | 58.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.23 | 41.7% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.8%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Barnet 2–1 Swindon Town, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Barnet 2nd (26 points), Swindon Town 13th (19 points).
- Absences: Barnet 0, Swindon Town 0.
Who will win Barnet vs Swindon Town?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Barnet vs Swindon Town: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Barnet vs Swindon Town: injuries and missing players
Barnet
- No reported absences
Swindon Town
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Barnet
Home and away
Barnet vs Swindon Town: last matches of both teams
Barnet
Swindon Town
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Barnet vs Swindon Town?
Barnet -1 (Asian handicap) (1.79); Over 2.5 goals (1.52).
Who will win Barnet vs Swindon Town?
Our estimate gives Barnet a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Swindon Town 16%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 20 October 2026 at 19:45, venue The Hive Stadium, London. Referee: B. Atkinson.
Who will be missing?
Barnet: no absences. Swindon Town: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 63% (odds 1.52) and under 2.5 goals at 37% (odds 2.67).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 58% (odds 1.62).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (9.9%), then 2–0 (9.4%) and 1–1 (9.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.