Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Swindon Town vs Rotherham, 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at County Ground (Swindon), with I. Searle officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Swindon Town vs Rotherham: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Swindon Town lie 13th, having collected 19 points after 14 matches (5W 4D 5L); Rotherham lie 22nd, having collected 12 points (2W 6D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Swindon Town average 1.0 goals for and 1.2 against, compared with 1.3 for and 1.8 against for Rotherham.
- Form in the competition. Swindon Town: 4W 4D 5L, goals 13–16; Rotherham: 2W 6D 5L, goals 17–23.
- Head to head. In 6 previous meetings, Swindon Town have taken 5 wins to Rotherham's 1 win, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 14–7.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.7%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.45), which we give a 66% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 58%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 54%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 6; Swindon Town 5 wins, 0 draws, Rotherham 1 win.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.5 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Swindon Town 13–16, Rotherham 17–23.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 54%.
- Unavailable: Swindon Town 0, Rotherham 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 58%, top price 1.62). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Swindon Town: no absences. Rotherham will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Swindon Town vs Rotherham: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.35 | 3.66 | 2.99 |
| Market average | 2.29 | 3.49 | 2.84 |
| Lowest odds | 2.25 | 3.12 | 2.46 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.21 | 76.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.73 | 1.72 | 54.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.15 | 2.06 | 45.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.80 | 2.73 | 33.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.59 | 58.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.23 | 41.7% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 13:41. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Swindon Town 1–1 Rotherham, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Swindon Town 13th (19 points), Rotherham 22nd (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Swindon Town 4W 4D 5L (13:16), Rotherham 2W 6D 5L (17:23).
- H2H: 6 matches: Swindon Town 5W 0D 1L, goals 14–7.
- Absences: Swindon Town 0, Rotherham 0.
Who will win Swindon Town vs Rotherham?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Swindon Town vs Rotherham: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Swindon Town vs Rotherham: injuries and missing players
Swindon Town
- No reported absences
Rotherham
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Swindon Town
Home and away
Swindon Town vs Rotherham: last matches of both teams
Swindon Town
Rotherham
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Swindon TownWDWDLRotherhamLDDLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Swindon Town vs Rotherham?
Draw or Rotherham (X2) (1.65); Under 3.5 goals (1.45).
Who will win Swindon Town vs Rotherham?
Our estimate gives Swindon Town a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Rotherham 33%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 15:00, venue County Ground, Swindon. Referee: I. Searle.
Who will be missing?
Swindon Town: no absences. Rotherham: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.73) and under 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.15).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 58% (odds 1.62).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.7%), then 2–1 (8.8%) and 1–0 (8.7%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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