Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Cagliari welcome Bologna on 24 October 2026 · 14:00 at Unipol Domus (Cagliari), and the referee is Kevin Bonacina, Italy. We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Bologna win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Bologna lose.
Cagliari vs Bologna: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Cagliari lie 12th, having collected 13 points after 10 matches (4W 1D 5L); Bologna lie 9th, having collected 14 points (4W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Cagliari average 0.9 goals for and 1.0 against, compared with 0.9 for and 1.4 against for Bologna.
- Form in the competition. Cagliari: 4W 1D 2L, goals 6–7; Bologna: 1W 2D 4L, goals 6–10.
- Head to head. In 28 previous meetings, Cagliari have taken 7 wins to Bologna's 14 wins, plus 7 draws; the goal tally stands at 24–38.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (13.3%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.68), which we give a 58% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 50%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 42%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 28; Cagliari 7 wins, 7 draws, Bologna 14 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.2 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Cagliari 6–7, Bologna 6–10.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 42%.
- Unavailable: Cagliari 3, Bologna 3.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 50%, top price 1.91). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Cagliari: M. Felici, R. Idrissi, Y. Trepy. Bologna will be without: E. Holm, R. Orsolini, R. Piccoli. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Cagliari vs Bologna: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.05 | 3.05 | 2.78 |
| Market average | 2.93 | 2.97 | 2.69 |
| Lowest odds | 2.88 | 2.80 | 2.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.40 | 67.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.39 | 2.28 | 41.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.68 | 1.63 | 58.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.50 | 4.22 | 22.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.86 | 50.1% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.87 | 49.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 12:03. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.1%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Cagliari 1–1 Bologna, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Cagliari 12th (13 points), Bologna 9th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Cagliari 4W 1D 2L (6:7), Bologna 1W 2D 4L (6:10).
- H2H: 28 matches: Cagliari 7W 7D 14L, goals 24–38.
- Absences: Cagliari 3, Bologna 3.
Who will win Cagliari vs Bologna?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Cagliari vs Bologna: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Cagliari vs Bologna: injuries and missing players
Cagliari
- M. Feliciknee injury · will miss the match
- R. Idrissiknee injury · will miss the match
- Y. Trepyinjury · will miss the match
Bologna
- E. Holmthigh injury · will miss the match
- R. Orsolinithigh injury · will miss the match
- R. Piccolihamstring injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 | Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | 2-0-9 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | 1-2-8 | 12:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Cagliari
Home and away
Cagliari vs Bologna: last matches of both teams
Cagliari
Bologna
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
CagliariLLLLDBolognaWWWLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Cagliari vs Bologna?
Bologna +0 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Under 2.5 goals (1.68).
Who will win Cagliari vs Bologna?
Our estimate gives Cagliari a 33% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Bologna 35%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 14:00, venue Unipol Domus, Cagliari. Referee: Kevin Bonacina, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Cagliari: M. Felici, R. Idrissi, Y. Trepy. Bologna: E. Holm, R. Orsolini, R. Piccoli. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 42% (odds 2.39) and under 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.68).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 50% (odds 1.91).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (13.3%), then 0–1 (12.1%) and 1–0 (11.6%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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