Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 24 October 2026 · 12:30 at Whaddon Road (Cheltenham), Cheltenham take on Newport County, with B. Speedie in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Cheltenham vs Newport County: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Cheltenham lie 5th, having collected 21 points after 14 matches (6W 3D 5L); Newport County lie 14th, having collected 18 points (4W 6D 4L).
- Head to head. In 25 previous meetings, Cheltenham have taken 10 wins to Newport County's 6 wins, plus 9 draws; the goal tally stands at 31–27.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.4%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.73), which we give a 55% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 55%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 50%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 25; Cheltenham 10 wins, 9 draws, Newport County 6 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.3 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 50%.
- Unavailable: Cheltenham 0, Newport County 0.
Alternative tip: Cheltenham or draw (1X)
Another angle: Cheltenham or draw (1X) (probability 65%, top price 1.50). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Cheltenham: no absences. Newport County will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Cheltenham vs Newport County: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.56 | 3.50 | 2.71 |
| Market average | 2.51 | 3.35 | 2.68 |
| Lowest odds | 2.45 | 3.20 | 2.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.27 | 73.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.89 | 49.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.90 | 1.86 | 50.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.30 | 3.19 | 29.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.69 | 54.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.05 | 45.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 10:04. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.0%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Cheltenham 1–1 Newport County, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Cheltenham 5th (21 points), Newport County 14th (18 points).
- H2H: 25 matches: Cheltenham 10W 9D 6L, goals 31–27.
- Absences: Cheltenham 0, Newport County 0.
Who will win Cheltenham vs Newport County?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Cheltenham vs Newport County: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Cheltenham vs Newport County: injuries and missing players
Cheltenham
- No reported absences
Newport County
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Cheltenham
Home and away
Cheltenham vs Newport County: last matches of both teams
Cheltenham
Newport County
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Cheltenham vs Newport County?
Cheltenham or draw (1X) (1.50); Both teams to score (1.73).
Who will win Cheltenham vs Newport County?
Our estimate gives Cheltenham a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Newport County 35%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 12:30, venue Whaddon Road, Cheltenham. Referee: B. Speedie.
Who will be missing?
Cheltenham: no absences. Newport County: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.95) and under 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.90).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 55% (odds 1.73).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.4%), then 1–0 (9.5%) and 0–1 (9.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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