Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 17 October 2026 · 15:15 at Estadio de la Cerámica (Villarreal), Villarreal take on Elche, with Víctor García Verdura, Spain in charge. We make Villarreal (67%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Villarreal win by 2 or more. Half lost (half the stake back): Villarreal win by 1. Loses: a draw, Villarreal lose.
Villarreal vs Elche: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Villarreal lie 10th, having collected 12 points after 11 matches (3W 3D 5L); Elche lie 17th, having collected 10 points (2W 4D 5L).
What to expect
In our view Villarreal hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (9.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.57), which we give a 59% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 59%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 67%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 67%.
- Unavailable: Villarreal 0, Elche 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 53%, top price 1.84). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Villarreal: no absences. Elche will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Villarreal vs Elche: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.46 | 5.41 | 7.19 |
| Market average | 1.43 | 5.09 | 6.67 |
| Lowest odds | 1.40 | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.09 | 84.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.41 | 1.40 | 66.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.83 | 33.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.12 | 2.04 | 46.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.56 | 59.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.28 | 40.7% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 17/10/26, 12:01. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.9%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Villarreal 2–1 Elche, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Villarreal 10th (12 points), Elche 17th (10 points).
- Absences: Villarreal 0, Elche 0.
Who will win Villarreal vs Elche?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Villarreal vs Elche: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Villarreal vs Elche: injuries and missing players
Villarreal
- No reported absences
Elche
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Alavés | 12 | 3-4-5 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 10 | Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 | Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Villarreal
Home and away
Villarreal vs Elche: last matches of both teams
Villarreal
Elche
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Villarreal vs Elche?
Villarreal -1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.95); Both teams to score (1.57).
Who will win Villarreal vs Elche?
Our estimate gives Villarreal a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Elche 14%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 17 October 2026 at 15:15, venue Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal. Referee: Víctor García Verdura, Spain.
Who will be missing?
Villarreal: no absences. Elche: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 67% (odds 1.41) and under 2.5 goals at 33% (odds 3.00).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 59% (odds 1.57).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (9.6%), then 2–0 (9.1%) and 1–1 (8.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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