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Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 14 · 21 November 2026 · 15:00

Falkirk vs ST Johnstone: prediction, odds and betting tip – 21 November 2026, Scottish Premiership

1Falkirk2.12
XDraw3.55
2ST Johnstone3.40

Top price available · Updated 7/11/26, 05:18

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Our tip for Falkirk vs ST Johnstone (Scottish Premiership, 21 November 2026, 15:00): Draw or ST Johnstone (X2) at odds of 1.75. Second tip: Both teams to score at odds of 1.67. The bookmakers' odds give Falkirk 45%, the draw 27% and ST Johnstone 28%. The most likely score is 1–1.

Falkirk vs ST Johnstone: tip and prediction
Main tip · Result
Draw or ST Johnstone (X2)
1.75
Chance 55% · confidence medium
Second tip · Goals
Both teams to score
1.67
Chance 56% · confidence medium
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
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Falkirk vs ST Johnstone: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Falkirk lie 4th, having collected 18 points after 12 matches (5W 3D 4L); ST Johnstone lie 7th, having collected 14 points (3W 5D 4L).
  2. Head to head. In 3 previous meetings, Falkirk have taken 1 win to ST Johnstone's 1 win, plus 1 draw; the goal tally stands at 2–2.

What to expect

In our view Falkirk hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.67), which we give a 56% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 56%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 53%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 3; Falkirk 1 win, 1 draw, ST Johnstone 1 win.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 1.3 goals a game on average.
  3. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 53%.
  4. Unavailable: Falkirk 0, ST Johnstone 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 53%, top price 1.83). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Falkirk: no absences. ST Johnstone will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Falkirk vs ST Johnstone: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available2.123.553.40
Market average2.093.473.29
Lowest odds2.053.303.25
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.271.2375.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.831.7952.7%
Under 2.5 goals2.022.0047.3%
Over 3.5 goals3.002.9232.0%
BTTS – yes1.671.6556.2%
BTTS – no2.152.1243.8%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 05:18. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.1%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: Falkirk 1–1 ST Johnstone, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Falkirk 4th (18 points), ST Johnstone 7th (14 points).
  • H2H: 3 matches: Falkirk 1W 1D 1L, goals 2–2.
  • Absences: Falkirk 0, ST Johnstone 0.

Who will win Falkirk vs ST Johnstone?

Falkirk45%
Draw27%
ST Johnstone28%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Falkirk vs ST Johnstone: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals75.7% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.27
Likely
Falkirk or draw (1X)71.7% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.34
Likely
Under 3.5 goals68.0% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.42
Likely
Both teams to score: yes56.2% · fair odds 1.78 · best 1.67
Possible
Over 2.5 goals52.7% · fair odds 1.90 · best 1.83
Possible
Under 2.5 goals47.3% · fair odds 2.11 · best 2.02
Outsider
Falkirk to win44.7% · fair odds 2.23 · best 2.12
Outsider
Both teams to score: no43.8% · fair odds 2.28 · best 2.15
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals32.0% · fair odds 3.13 · best 3.00
Outsider
ST Johnstone to win28.3% · fair odds 3.53 · best 3.40
Outsider
Draw26.9% · fair odds 3.72 · best 3.55
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Correct score tips

1 : 111.9%
1 : 09.9%
2 : 19.2%
2 : 07.7%
0 : 17.7%
1 : 27.1%

Falkirk vs ST Johnstone: injuries and missing players

Falkirk

  • No reported absences

ST Johnstone

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Celtic129-1-227:1028
2Rangers117-3-119:924
3Heart Of Midlothian116-2-324:1720
4Falkirk125-3-415:1218
5Dundee115-2-417:1317
6Dundee United114-4-316:1616
7ST Johnstone123-5-415:1914
8ST Mirren124-2-612:2014
9Motherwell123-3-614:2012
10Aberdeen113-2-612:1411
11Kilmarnock122-3-713:289
12Hibernian112-2-711:178

Recent matches

Falkirk

1 NovWFalkirk 2–0 Celtic
28 OctWAberdeen 0–1 Falkirk
24 OctWFalkirk 3–0 Kilmarnock
17 OctWHibernian 1–2 Falkirk
10 OctLFalkirk 1–2 Dundee

ST Johnstone

31 OctDKilmarnock 2–2 ST Johnstone
28 OctDST Johnstone 2–2 Motherwell
24 OctLRangers 4–0 ST Johnstone
17 OctDST Johnstone 1–1 Dundee United
11 OctWAberdeen 0–1 ST Johnstone

Home and away

Falkirk at home6 matches: 3W 0D 3L, goals 9–7
ST Johnstone away6 matches: 1W 2D 3L, goals 5–10

Falkirk vs ST Johnstone: last matches of both teams

Falkirk

W 1/11/26 · Falkirk 2–0 Celtic
W 28/10/26 · Aberdeen 0–1 Falkirk
W 24/10/26 · Falkirk 3–0 Kilmarnock
W 17/10/26 · Hibernian 1–2 Falkirk
L 10/10/26 · Falkirk 1–2 Dundee

ST Johnstone

D 31/10/26 · Kilmarnock 2–2 ST Johnstone
D 28/10/26 · ST Johnstone 2–2 Motherwell
L 24/10/26 · Rangers 4–0 ST Johnstone
D 17/10/26 · ST Johnstone 1–1 Dundee United
W 11/10/26 · Aberdeen 0–1 ST Johnstone

Head to head

All matches
1Falkirk
1Draws
1ST Johnstone
19/9/26 · ST Johnstone 1–1 Falkirk
8/7/25 · ST Johnstone 0–1 Falkirk
24/7/18 · ST Johnstone 1–0 Falkirk

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.1%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Falkirk vs ST Johnstone?

Draw or ST Johnstone (X2) (1.75); Both teams to score (1.67).

Who will win Falkirk vs ST Johnstone?

Our estimate gives Falkirk a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and ST Johnstone 28%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 21 November 2026 at 15:00, venue Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk.

Who will be missing?

Falkirk: no absences. ST Johnstone: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.83) and under 2.5 goals at 47% (odds 2.02).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 56% (odds 1.67).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (11.9%), then 1–0 (9.9%) and 2–1 (9.2%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

ST Johnstone vs Dundee 7 NovDundee United vs Motherwell 7 NovAberdeen vs Hibernian 7 NovST Mirren vs Rangers 7 NovHeart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk 8 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.

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