Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
York vs Accrington ST, 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at York Community Stadium (York), with D. Brown officiating. The odds point to York (64%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: York win by 2 or more. Stake back: York win by 1. Loses: a draw, York lose.
York vs Accrington ST: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. York lie 7th, having collected 20 points after 14 matches (5W 5D 4L); Accrington ST lie 9th, having collected 19 points (4W 7D 3L).
What to expect
In our view York hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–0 (10.4%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), which we give a 61% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 53%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 60%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 60%.
- Unavailable: York 0, Accrington ST 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 60%, top price 1.60). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for York: no absences. Accrington ST will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
York vs Accrington ST: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.77 | 5.25 | 9.00 |
| Market average | 1.45 | 4.54 | 6.43 |
| Lowest odds | 1.29 | 3.42 | 3.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.15 | 80.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.54 | 59.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.29 | 40.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.50 | 2.38 | 39.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.74 | 53.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 1.99 | 46.6% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.5%.
The key facts
- Likely result: York 2–0 Accrington ST, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: York 7th (20 points), Accrington ST 9th (19 points).
- Absences: York 0, Accrington ST 0.
Who will win York vs Accrington ST?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
York vs Accrington ST: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
York vs Accrington ST: injuries and missing players
York
- No reported absences
Accrington ST
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
York
Home and away
York vs Accrington ST: last matches of both teams
York
Accrington ST
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for York vs Accrington ST?
York -1 (Asian handicap) (2.20); Under 3.5 goals (1.55).
Who will win York vs Accrington ST?
Our estimate gives York a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Accrington ST 15%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 20 October 2026 at 19:45, venue York Community Stadium, York. Referee: D. Brown.
Who will be missing?
York: no absences. Accrington ST: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.60) and under 2.5 goals at 40% (odds 2.35).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 53% (odds 1.83).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–0 (10.4%), then 2–1 (9.9%) and 1–0 (9.7%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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