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Serie A · Matchweek 12 · 21 November 2026 · 14:00

Lazio vs Lecce: prediction, odds and betting tip – 21 November 2026, Serie A

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VS
LLLWL
1Lazio1.40
XDraw5.45
2Lecce8.50

Top price available · Updated 7/11/26, 04:55

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Our tip for Lazio vs Lecce (Serie A, 21 November 2026, 14:00): Lecce +1.5 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.88. Second tip: Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.57. The bookmakers' odds give Lazio 69%, the draw 19% and Lecce 12%. The most likely score is 2–0.

Lazio vs Lecce: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Lecce +1.5 (Asian handicap)
1.88
Chance 53% · confidence medium

Wins: Lecce win, a draw, Lecce lose by 1. Loses: Lecce lose by 2 or more.

Second tip · Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.57
Chance 61% · confidence medium
Combo
Lazio with over 2.5 goals
2.10
48% · combo fair odds
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Lazio or draw (1X) at a probability of 88%, with odds of up to 1.11.
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Lazio vs Lecce: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Lazio lie 1st, having collected 28 points after 10 matches (9W 1D 0L); Lecce lie 14th, having collected 9 points (3W 0D 7L).

What to expect

In our view Lazio hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–0 (11.4%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57), which we give a 61% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 51%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 60%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 60%.
  2. Unavailable: Lazio 0, Lecce 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 60%, top price 1.63). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Lazio: no absences. Lecce will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Lazio vs Lecce: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available1.405.458.50
Market average1.374.987.77
Lowest odds1.344.446.66
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1880.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.631.6060.0%
Under 2.5 goals2.482.4040.0%
Over 3.5 goals2.522.4338.9%
BTTS – yes1.851.8251.2%
BTTS – no1.951.9148.8%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 04:55. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.3%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: Lazio 2–0 Lecce, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Lazio 1st (28 points), Lecce 14th (9 points).
  • Absences: Lazio 0, Lecce 0.

Who will win Lazio vs Lecce?

Lazio69%
Draw19%
Lecce12%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Lazio vs Lecce: more betting tips

Lazio or draw (1X)87.8% · fair odds 1.14 · best 1.11
Likely
Over 1.5 goals80.1% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.20
Likely
Lazio to win68.9% · fair odds 1.45 · best 1.40
Likely
Under 3.5 goals61.1% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 2.5 goals60.0% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.63
Likely
Both teams to score: yes51.2% · fair odds 1.95 · best 1.85
Possible
Both teams to score: no48.8% · fair odds 2.05 · best 1.95
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals40.0% · fair odds 2.50 · best 2.48
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.9% · fair odds 2.57 · best 2.52
Outsider
Draw19.0% · fair odds 5.27 · best 5.45
Outsider
Lecce to win12.2% · fair odds 8.21 · best 8.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Correct score tips

2 : 011.4%
1 : 010.1%
2 : 19.7%
1 : 18.6%
3 : 08.6%
3 : 17.3%

Lazio vs Lecce: injuries and missing players

Lazio

  • No reported absences

Lecce

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Lazio109-1-024:828
2Inter108-1-126:1325
3AS Roma107-3-028:1024
4Como107-2-118:823
5AC Milan106-3-121:1221
6Frosinone106-2-224:1420
7Juventus105-2-313:1017
8Napoli104-2-417:1314
9Bologna104-2-414:1314
10Torino104-1-514:1613
11Genoa104-1-510:1413
12Cagliari104-1-59:1513
13Atalanta103-2-516:2011
14Lecce103-0-711:219
15Parma102-2-68:158
16Fiorentina102-2-615:238
17Sassuolo102-2-616:268
18Monza102-1-717:247
19Venezia112-0-98:216
20Udinese111-2-812:255

Recent matches

Lazio

1 NovWLazio 2–1 Cagliari
27 OctWSassuolo 2–6 Lazio
24 OctWLazio 2–1 Parma
18 OctWJuventus 0–3 Lazio
11 OctWLazio 3–1 Monza

Lecce

1 NovLLecce 1–2 Genoa
29 OctLFrosinone 5–1 Lecce
25 OctLLecce 0–2 Juventus
18 OctWUdinese 0–3 Lecce
11 OctLLecce 1–2 Bologna

Home and away

Lazio at home5 matches: 4W 1D 0L, goals 10–5
Lecce away5 matches: 2W 0D 3L, goals 6–9

Lazio vs Lecce: last matches of both teams

Lazio

W 1/11/26 · Lazio 2–1 Cagliari
W 27/10/26 · Sassuolo 2–6 Lazio
W 24/10/26 · Lazio 2–1 Parma
W 18/10/26 · Juventus 0–3 Lazio
W 11/10/26 · Lazio 3–1 Monza

Lecce

L 1/11/26 · Lecce 1–2 Genoa
L 29/10/26 · Frosinone 5–1 Lecce
L 25/10/26 · Lecce 0–2 Juventus
W 18/10/26 · Udinese 0–3 Lecce
L 11/10/26 · Lecce 1–2 Bologna

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.3%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Lazio vs Lecce?

Lecce +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Under 3.5 goals (1.57).

Who will win Lazio vs Lecce?

Our estimate gives Lazio a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lecce 12%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 21 November 2026 at 14:00, venue Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

Who will be missing?

Lazio: no absences. Lecce: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.63) and under 2.5 goals at 40% (odds 2.48).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 51% (odds 1.85).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 2–0 (11.4%), then 1–0 (10.1%) and 2–1 (9.7%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

Cagliari vs Frosinone 7 NovTorino vs Lecce 7 NovParma vs Bologna 7 NovAS Roma vs Sassuolo 7 NovNapoli vs Lazio 8 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.

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