Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at GSP Stadium (Nicosia), Omonia Nicosia take on Benfica, with Jasper Vergoote in charge. We make Benfica (73%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Benfica win by 2 or more. Loses: Benfica win by 1, a draw, Benfica lose.
Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Omonia Nicosia lie 18th, having collected 6 points after 4 matches (2W 0D 2L); Benfica lie 1st, having collected 12 points (4W 0D 0L).
- Head to head. In 1 previous meetings, Omonia Nicosia have taken 0 wins to Benfica's 1 win, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 1–4.
What to expect
In our view Benfica hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–2 (11.1%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 51%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 63%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 1; Omonia Nicosia 0 wins, 0 draws, Benfica 1 win.
- Head to head meetings have produced 5.0 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 63%.
- Unavailable: Omonia Nicosia 0, Benfica 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 57%, top price 1.69). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Omonia Nicosia: no absences. Benfica will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 9.50 | 6.07 | 1.33 |
| Market average | 9.02 | 5.72 | 1.30 |
| Lowest odds | 7.91 | 5.00 | 1.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.14 | 82.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.52 | 1.48 | 63.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.64 | 2.57 | 36.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.27 | 2.22 | 42.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.81 | 51.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.92 | 48.6% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 22/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.6%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Omonia Nicosia 0–2 Benfica, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Omonia Nicosia 18th (6 points), Benfica 1st (12 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Omonia Nicosia 0W 0D 1L, goals 1–4.
- Absences: Omonia Nicosia 0, Benfica 0.
Who will win Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica: injuries and missing players
Omonia Nicosia
- No reported absences
Benfica
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 4 | 4-0-0 | 13:3 | 12 |
| 2 |  Bournemouth | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:2 | 12 |
| 3 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 4 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 4 | 3-1-0 | 10:2 | 10 |
| 5 |  Juventus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 6 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 7 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | 2-1-1 | 11:8 | 7 |
| 9 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 2-1-1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 10 |  Levski Sofia | 4 | 2-1-1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Sunderland | 4 | 2-1-1 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 2-1-1 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lyon | 4 | 2-1-1 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 2-0-2 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Anderlecht | 4 | 2-0-2 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 16 |  OFI | 4 | 2-0-2 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 17 |  Rennes | 4 | 1-3-0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 18 | Omonia Nicosia | 4 | 2-0-2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 19 |  Torreense | 4 | 2-0-2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 20 |  Real Sociedad | 4 | 1-2-1 | 9:4 | 5 |
| 21 |  Crystal Palace | 4 | 1-2-1 | 9:6 | 5 |
| 22 |  Sparta Praha | 4 | 1-1-2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1-1-2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 24 |  Sturm Graz | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 25 |  Celje | 4 | 1-1-2 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 26 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 27 |  Celta Vigo | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  AC Milan | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Jagiellonia | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 30 |  Plzeň | 4 | 1-0-3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 31 |  Marseille | 4 | 1-0-3 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 32 |  Celtic | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 33 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | 0-1-3 | 1:8 | 1 |
| 34 |  Lillestrøm | 4 | 0-1-3 | 2:10 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lech Poznań | 4 | 0-1-3 | 2:12 | 1 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 4 | 0-0-4 | 4:14 | 0 |
Recent matches
Omonia Nicosia
Home and away
Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica: last matches of both teams
Omonia Nicosia
Benfica
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
Benfica -1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.87); Over 2.5 goals (1.52).
Who will win Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
Our estimate gives Omonia Nicosia a 11% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Benfica 73%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 22 October 2026 at 20:00, venue GSP Stadium, Nicosia. Referee: Jasper Vergoote.
Who will be missing?
Omonia Nicosia: no absences. Benfica: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 63% (odds 1.52) and under 2.5 goals at 37% (odds 2.64).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 51% (odds 1.85).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 0–2 (11.1%), then 1–2 (9.4%) and 0–3 (9.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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