Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 4–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Port Vale welcome Rochdale on 31 October 2026 · 12:30 at Vale Park (Stoke-On-Trent), and the referee is E. Heaslip. Port Vale (57%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Port Vale win by 2 or more. Half wins (half the stake back): Port Vale win by 1. Loses: a draw, Port Vale lose.
Port Vale vs Rochdale: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Port Vale lie 19th, having collected 15 points after 12 matches (4W 3D 5L); Rochdale lie 20th, having collected 15 points (4W 3D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Port Vale average 0.5 goals for and 1.1 against, compared with 1.2 for and 1.7 against for Rochdale.
- Form in the competition. Port Vale: 3W 3D 5L, goals 6–12; Rochdale: 4W 3D 6L, goals 15–22.
- Head to head. In 15 previous meetings, Port Vale have taken 7 wins to Rochdale's 5 wins, plus 3 draws; the goal tally stands at 24–21.
What to expect
In our view Port Vale hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–0 (12.4%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.88), which we give a 51% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 49%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 49%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 15; Port Vale 7 wins, 3 draws, Rochdale 5 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.0 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Port Vale 6–12, Rochdale 15–22.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 49%.
- Unavailable: Port Vale 0, Rochdale 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: no
Another angle: Both teams to score: no (probability 51%, top price 1.87). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Port Vale: no absences. Rochdale will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Port Vale vs Rochdale: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.65 | 3.95 | 5.66 |
| Market average | 1.63 | 3.75 | 5.13 |
| Lowest odds | 1.60 | 3.26 | 4.18 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.28 | 72.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.97 | 1.93 | 48.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.88 | 1.83 | 51.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.28 | 28.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.93 | 1.90 | 48.8% |
| BTTS – no | 1.87 | 1.81 | 51.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 09:43. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.8%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Port Vale 1–0 Rochdale, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Port Vale 19th (15 points), Rochdale 20th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Port Vale 3W 3D 5L (6:12), Rochdale 4W 3D 6L (15:22).
- H2H: 15 matches: Port Vale 7W 3D 5L, goals 24–21.
- Absences: Port Vale 0, Rochdale 0.
Who will win Port Vale vs Rochdale?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Port Vale vs Rochdale: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Port Vale vs Rochdale: injuries and missing players
Port Vale
- No reported absences
Rochdale
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Port Vale
Home and away
Port Vale vs Rochdale: last matches of both teams
Port Vale
Rochdale
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Port ValeWLDWWRochdaleLLDLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Port Vale vs Rochdale?
Port Vale -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Under 2.5 goals (1.88).
Who will win Port Vale vs Rochdale?
Our estimate gives Port Vale a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rochdale 18%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 12:30, venue Vale Park, Stoke-On-Trent. Referee: E. Heaslip.
Who will be missing?
Port Vale: no absences. Rochdale: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 1.97) and under 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.88).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 49% (odds 1.93).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–0 (12.4%), then 1–1 (11.1%) and 2–0 (10.8%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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