Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–5. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Spotland Stadium (Rochdale), Rochdale take on Accrington ST, with R. Watkins in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Rochdale vs Accrington ST: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Rochdale lie 20th, having collected 15 points after 14 matches (4W 3D 7L); Accrington ST lie 9th, having collected 19 points (4W 7D 3L).
- Head to head. In 12 previous meetings, Rochdale have taken 8 wins to Accrington ST's 3 wins, plus 1 draw; the goal tally stands at 20–20.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.4%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.73), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 54%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 49%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 12; Rochdale 8 wins, 1 draw, Accrington ST 3 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.3 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 49%.
- Unavailable: Rochdale 0, Accrington ST 0.
Alternative tip: Draw or Accrington ST (X2)
Another angle: Draw or Accrington ST (X2) (probability 67%, top price 1.50). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Rochdale: no absences. Accrington ST will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Rochdale vs Accrington ST: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.91 | 3.47 | 2.44 |
| Market average | 2.86 | 3.38 | 2.36 |
| Lowest odds | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.27 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.28 | 72.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.90 | 49.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.89 | 1.85 | 50.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.34 | 3.21 | 28.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.70 | 54.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.03 | 45.6% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 13:59. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.0%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Rochdale 1–1 Accrington ST, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Rochdale 20th (15 points), Accrington ST 9th (19 points).
- H2H: 12 matches: Rochdale 8W 1D 3L, goals 20–20.
- Absences: Rochdale 0, Accrington ST 0.
Who will win Rochdale vs Accrington ST?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Rochdale vs Accrington ST: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Rochdale vs Accrington ST: injuries and missing players
Rochdale
- No reported absences
Accrington ST
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Rochdale
Home and away
Rochdale vs Accrington ST: last matches of both teams
Rochdale
Accrington ST
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Rochdale vs Accrington ST?
Draw or Accrington ST (X2) (1.50); Both teams to score (1.73).
Who will win Rochdale vs Accrington ST?
Our estimate gives Rochdale a 33% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Accrington ST 40%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 15:00, venue Spotland Stadium, Rochdale. Referee: R. Watkins.
Who will be missing?
Rochdale: no absences. Accrington ST: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 1.95) and under 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.89).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 54% (odds 1.73).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.4%), then 0–1 (9.9%) and 1–0 (8.8%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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