Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 7–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 31 October 2026 · 17:45 at Philips Stadion (Eindhoven), PSV Eindhoven take on Willem II, with Danny Makkelie in charge. We make PSV Eindhoven (89%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. PSV Eindhoven lie 3rd, having collected 23 points after 11 matches (7W 2D 2L); Willem II lie 18th, having collected 3 points (0W 3D 9L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, PSV Eindhoven average 2.8 goals for and 1.3 against, compared with 1.0 for and 3.2 against for Willem II.
- Form in the competition. PSV Eindhoven: 6W 2D 2L, goals 28–13; Willem II: 0W 2D 8L, goals 10–32.
- Head to head. In 24 previous meetings, PSV Eindhoven have taken 17 wins to Willem II's 3 wins, plus 4 draws; the goal tally stands at 64–24.
What to expect
In our view PSV Eindhoven hold the advantage. We project a 4–1 scoreline, around 5 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 3–0 (9.2%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
With the result at a short price (1.09), the goals markets are also worth considering: Both teams to score (odds 1.79), which we give a 53% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 53%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 84%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 24; PSV Eindhoven 17 wins, 4 draws, Willem II 3 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.7 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: PSV Eindhoven 28–13, Willem II 10–32.
- Our projection is around 5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 84%.
- Unavailable: PSV Eindhoven 6, Willem II 3.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 32%, top price 3.25). A projection of around 5 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for PSV Eindhoven: A. Nagalo, A. Plea, J. Schouten, P. Wanner, S. Lammers, R. Pepi. Willem II will be without: J. Hoogma, A. Lachkar, J. Slory. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.09 | 17.50 | 33.00 |
| Market average | 1.07 | 13.31 | 23.88 |
| Lowest odds | 1.04 | 9.06 | 13.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.04 | 1.03 | 92.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.12 | 83.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 6.50 | 5.72 | 16.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.36 | 68.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.79 | 1.76 | 52.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 1.97 | 47.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 13:04. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.0%.
The key facts
- Likely result: PSV Eindhoven 3–0 Willem II, roughly 5 goals in total.
- Table: PSV Eindhoven 3rd (23 points), Willem II 18th (3 points).
- Form in the competition: PSV Eindhoven 6W 2D 2L (28:13), Willem II 0W 2D 8L (10:32).
- H2H: 24 matches: PSV Eindhoven 17W 4D 3L, goals 64–24.
- Absences: PSV Eindhoven 6, Willem II 3.
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II: injuries and missing players
PSV Eindhoven
- A. Nagaloinjury · will miss the match
- A. Pleaabsence · will miss the match
- J. Schoutenknee injury · will miss the match
- P. Wannerfoot injury · will miss the match
- S. Lammersabsence · doubtful
- R. Pepiinjury · doubtful
Willem II
- J. Hoogmaknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Lachkargroin injury · will miss the match
- J. Sloryred card · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3-3-6 | 13:24 | 12 |
| 14 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 | Willem II | 12 | 0-3-9 | 11:40 | 3 |
Recent matches
PSV Eindhoven
Home and away
PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II: last matches of both teams
PSV Eindhoven
Willem II
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
PSV EindhovenWDLWLWillem IIDLLLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
Both teams to score (1.79); PSV Eindhoven to win (1.09).
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
Our estimate gives PSV Eindhoven a 89% chance of winning, the draw 7% and Willem II 4%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 17:45, venue Philips Stadion, Eindhoven. Referee: Danny Makkelie.
Who will be missing?
PSV Eindhoven: A. Nagalo, A. Plea, J. Schouten, P. Wanner, S. Lammers, R. Pepi. Willem II: J. Hoogma, A. Lachkar, J. Slory. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 84% (odds 1.16) and under 2.5 goals at 16% (odds 6.50).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 53% (odds 1.79).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 3–0 (9.2%), then 4–0 (8.7%) and 3–1 (7.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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