Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Willem II welcome PEC Zwolle on 6 November 2026 · 19:00 at Koning Willem II Stadion (Tilburg), and the referee is Allard Lindhout. PEC Zwolle (46%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Willem II win, a draw. Loses: Willem II lose.
Willem II vs PEC Zwolle: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Willem II lie 18th, having collected 3 points after 12 matches (0W 3D 9L); PEC Zwolle lie 13th, having collected 12 points (3W 3D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Willem II average 0.9 goals for and 3.5 against, compared with 1.1 for and 2.1 against for PEC Zwolle.
- Form in the competition. Willem II: 0W 2D 9L, goals 10–39; PEC Zwolle: 3W 2D 6L, goals 12–23.
- Head to head. In 22 previous meetings, Willem II have taken 7 wins to PEC Zwolle's 11 wins, plus 4 draws; the goal tally stands at 22–28.
What to expect
In our view PEC Zwolle hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.1%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.52), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 60%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 57%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 22; Willem II 7 wins, 4 draws, PEC Zwolle 11 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.3 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Willem II 10–39, PEC Zwolle 12–23.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57%.
- Unavailable: Willem II 2, PEC Zwolle 3.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 60%, top price 1.60). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Willem II: J. Hoogma, A. Lachkar. PEC Zwolle will be without: S. Floranus, F. Krastev, G. Rahajaan. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Willem II vs PEC Zwolle: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.60 | 3.85 | 2.09 |
| Market average | 3.41 | 3.63 | 2.03 |
| Lowest odds | 3.22 | 3.36 | 2.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.19 | 78.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.65 | 57.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.26 | 2.21 | 42.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.73 | 2.59 | 36.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.60 | 1.55 | 59.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.29 | 40.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 6/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.2%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Willem II 1–1 PEC Zwolle, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Willem II 18th (3 points), PEC Zwolle 13th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Willem II 0W 2D 9L (10:39), PEC Zwolle 3W 2D 6L (12:23).
- H2H: 22 matches: Willem II 7W 4D 11L, goals 22–28.
- Absences: Willem II 2, PEC Zwolle 3.
Who will win Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Willem II vs PEC Zwolle: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Willem II vs PEC Zwolle: injuries and missing players
Willem II
- J. Hoogmaknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Lachkargroin injury · will miss the match
PEC Zwolle
- S. Floranusinjury · will miss the match
- F. KrastevAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- G. Rahajaannot in the squad · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3-3-6 | 13:24 | 12 |
| 14 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 | Willem II | 12 | 0-3-9 | 11:40 | 3 |
Recent matches
Willem II
Home and away
Willem II vs PEC Zwolle: last matches of both teams
Willem II
PEC Zwolle
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Willem IIDLLLLPEC ZwolleDWDWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?
Willem II +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.85); Under 3.5 goals (1.52).
Who will win Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?
Our estimate gives Willem II a 28% chance of winning, the draw 26% and PEC Zwolle 46%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 6 November 2026 at 19:00, venue Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg. Referee: Allard Lindhout.
Who will be missing?
Willem II: J. Hoogma, A. Lachkar. PEC Zwolle: S. Floranus, F. Krastev, G. Rahajaan. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.70) and under 2.5 goals at 43% (odds 2.26).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 60% (odds 1.60).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.1%), then 1–2 (9.5%) and 0–1 (8.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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