Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 28 October 2026 · 17:30 at Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo (Venice), Venezia take on Inter, with Luca J. Pairetto in charge. We make Inter (69%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Venezia win, a draw, Venezia lose by 1. Loses: Venezia lose by 2 or more.
Venezia vs Inter: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Venezia lie 19th, having collected 6 points after 11 matches (2W 0D 9L); Inter lie 2nd, having collected 25 points (8W 1D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Venezia average 0.8 goals for and 2.1 against, compared with 2.9 for and 1.3 against for Inter.
- Form in the competition. Venezia: 1W 0D 7L, goals 6–17; Inter: 7W 1D 0L, goals 23–10.
- Head to head. In 6 previous meetings, Venezia have taken 0 wins to Inter's 6 wins, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 2–13.
What to expect
In our view Inter hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–2 (9.5%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.62), which we give a 58% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 58%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 67%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 6; Venezia 0 wins, 0 draws, Inter 6 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.5 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Venezia 6–17, Inter 23–10.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 67%.
- Unavailable: Venezia 4, Inter 5.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 54%, top price 1.83). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Venezia: A. Adorante, T. Correia, B. Franjic, M. Sverko. Inter will be without: C. Jones, Luis Henrique, L. Martinez, B. Pavard, J. Stones. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Venezia vs Inter: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 8.05 | 5.70 | 1.44 |
| Market average | 7.39 | 5.27 | 1.38 |
| Lowest odds | 7.00 | 5.00 | 1.33 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.10 | 84.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.41 | 66.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.84 | 33.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.13 | 2.06 | 46.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.60 | 58.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.22 | 41.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 28/10/26, 16:28. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.1%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Venezia 1–2 Inter, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Venezia 19th (6 points), Inter 2nd (25 points).
- Form in the competition: Venezia 1W 0D 7L (6:17), Inter 7W 1D 0L (23:10).
- H2H: 6 matches: Venezia 0W 0D 6L, goals 2–13.
- Absences: Venezia 4, Inter 5.
Who will win Venezia vs Inter?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Venezia vs Inter: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Venezia vs Inter: injuries and missing players
Venezia
- A. Adoranteabsence · will miss the match
- T. Correiathigh injury · will miss the match
- B. Franjicshoulder injury · will miss the match
- M. Sverkohip injury · will miss the match
Inter
- C. Jonesthigh injury · will miss the match
- Luis Henriquethigh injury · will miss the match
- L. Martinezthigh injury · will miss the match
- B. Pavardthigh injury · will miss the match
- J. Stonesinjury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 | Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia | 11 | 2-0-9 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | 1-2-8 | 12:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Venezia
Home and away
Venezia vs Inter: last matches of both teams
Venezia
Inter
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
VeneziaWLLLWInterLWWWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Venezia vs Inter?
Venezia +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.92); Both teams to score (1.62).
Who will win Venezia vs Inter?
Our estimate gives Venezia a 13% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Inter 69%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 28 October 2026 at 17:30, venue Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo, Venice. Referee: Luca J. Pairetto.
Who will be missing?
Venezia: A. Adorante, T. Correia, B. Franjic, M. Sverko. Inter: C. Jones, Luis Henrique, L. Martinez, B. Pavard, J. Stones. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 67% (odds 1.44) and under 2.5 goals at 33% (odds 3.00).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 58% (odds 1.62).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–2 (9.5%), then 0–2 (9.5%) and 1–3 (7.8%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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