Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Ajax vs ADO Den Haag (Eredivisie, 22 November 2026, 13:30): Over 3.5 goals at odds of 1.74. Second tip: Ajax to win at odds of 1.20. The bookmakers' odds give Ajax 80%, the draw 12% and ADO Den Haag 7%. The most likely score is 2–0.
Ajax vs ADO Den Haag: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Ajax lie 2nd, having collected 24 points after 11 matches (7W 3D 1L); ADO Den Haag lie 17th, having collected 6 points (1W 3D 7L).
What to expect
In our view Ajax hold the advantage. We project a 3–1 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–0 (9.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
With the result at a short price (1.20), the goals markets are also worth considering: Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.74), which we give a 56% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 54%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 74%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 74%.
- Unavailable: Ajax 0, ADO Den Haag 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 54%, top price 1.75). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Ajax: no absences. ADO Den Haag will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Ajax vs ADO Den Haag: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.20 | 8.45 | 14.50 |
| Market average | 1.17 | 7.69 | 13.00 |
| Lowest odds | 1.15 | 7.20 | 12.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.09 | 1.06 | 88.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.27 | 73.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.54 | 26.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.74 | 1.70 | 55.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.72 | 54.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 2.03 | 45.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 05:03. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.1%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Ajax 2–0 ADO Den Haag, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Ajax 2nd (24 points), ADO Den Haag 17th (6 points).
- Absences: Ajax 0, ADO Den Haag 0.
Who will win Ajax vs ADO Den Haag?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Ajax vs ADO Den Haag: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
Ajax vs ADO Den Haag: injuries and missing players
Ajax
- No reported absences
ADO Den Haag
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3-3-6 | 13:24 | 12 |
| 14 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 12 | 0-3-9 | 11:40 | 3 |
Recent matches
Ajax
Home and away
Ajax vs ADO Den Haag: last matches of both teams
Ajax
ADO Den Haag
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Ajax vs ADO Den Haag?
Over 3.5 goals (1.74); Ajax to win (1.20).
Who will win Ajax vs ADO Den Haag?
Our estimate gives Ajax a 80% chance of winning, the draw 12% and ADO Den Haag 7%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 22 November 2026 at 13:30, venue Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam.
Who will be missing?
Ajax: no absences. ADO Den Haag: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 74% (odds 1.29) and under 2.5 goals at 26% (odds 3.60).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 54% (odds 1.75).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–0 (9.6%), then 3–0 (9.6%) and 2–1 (8.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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